MTZ MasTec · $329.59 Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Terminal终端
MasTec · Industrials

MTZ

$329.59
Mastec, Inc. is an American infrastructure engineering and construction company based in Coral Gables, Florida.Mastec公司是一家美国基础设施工程和建筑公司,总部位于佛罗里达州科勒尔盖布尔斯。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $26B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$329.59
24.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 24.7%
Market Cap市值
$26B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
65.2x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.85
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
36
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
99th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MTZ S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -11.6% -1.5% Lagged the index by 10.1 points落后指数 10.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -12.1% +0.6% Lagged the index by 12.7 points落后指数 12.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -11.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 15.8 points落后指数 15.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +36.0% +7.8% Beat the index by 28.2 points跑赢指数 28.2 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +44.8% +9.1% Beat the index by 35.7 points跑赢指数 35.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +86.7% +19.4% Beat the index by 67.3 points跑赢指数 67.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +184.6% +69.4% Beat the index by 115.2 points跑赢指数 115.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 36 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -14.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +13.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 99th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$329.60
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -14.1% (20d)财报后漂移:-14.1%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MTZ Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 65.17x 29.89
12%
P/B市净率 7.98x 3.90
22%
P/S市销率 1.82x 2.21
59%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.53% 3.10
21%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 1.10% 3.81
11%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.30% 2.29
6%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 91.01x 25.50
4%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$6.3B
2020
$8.0B
2021
$9.8B
2022
$12.0B
2023
$12.3B
2024
$14.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$4.38
2020
$4.45
2021
$0.42
2022
$-0.64
2023
$2.06
2024
$5.07
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$723.5M
2020
$623.0M
2021
$88.9M
2022
$494.3M
2023
$972.8M
2024
$285.7M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
2.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.8%
12.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.32
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$77.3M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$34.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/6 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.3) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 26% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 26% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.85×
0.2
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/6
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +19.6%空头仓位变动 +19.6%
Technical技术面 MTZ broke down vs the marketMTZ 相对市场走弱

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.1M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$3.1M 净值(0 买家,4 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Lone Pine Capital B New position新建仓 3.9% 2026-03-31
Third Point (Loeb) B trimtrim 4.9% 2026-03-31
Coatue Management A trimtrim 0.7% 2026-03-31
Soros Fund Management B trimtrim 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
MTZ broke down vs the marketMTZ 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $340.81.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$340.81。
Jul 9, 2026
MTZ StochRSI turned up from oversoldMTZ StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $384.72.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$384.72。
Jul 7, 2026
MTZ daily MACD crossed downMTZ 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $358.85.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$358.85。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
MTZ took relative-strength leadershipMTZ 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $429.09.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$429.09。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.52
Value价值
-0.7
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3

Company Profile公司档案

Mastec, Inc. is an American infrastructure engineering and construction company based in Coral Gables, Florida.Mastec公司是一家美国基础设施工程和建筑公司,总部位于佛罗里达州科勒尔盖布尔斯。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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