ATI Inc. · Industrials
ATI
$186.17
ATI Inc. is an American producer of specialty materials headquartered in Dallas, Texas.ATIInc.是一家美国特种材料生产商，总部位于得克萨斯州达拉斯。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$25B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$186.17
8.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.8%
Market Cap市值
$25B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
62.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.60
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
40th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ATI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.5% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.4% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 6.0 points落后指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +13.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 8.4 points跑赢指数 8.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +49.7% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 41.9 points跑赢指数 41.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +56.2% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 47.1 points跑赢指数 47.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +101.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 81.7 points跑赢指数 81.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +308.6% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 239.2 points跑赢指数 239.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+35.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
40th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$180.80
Don't chase above不追高于
$186.20
Stop止损
$183.30
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +8.1% (20d)财报后漂移：+8.1%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ATI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 62.59x | 29.89 | 13% |
| P/B市净率 | 14.02x | 3.90 | 9% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.52x | 2.21 | 13% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.60% | 3.10 | 22% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.32% | 3.81 | 13% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.86% | 2.29 | 43% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 30.81x | 16.39 | 13% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 75.84x | 25.50 | 6% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
22.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.48 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.66 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $470.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $29.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.6)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 12% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 12% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.60×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ATI StochRSI turned up from oversoldATI StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$30.1M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$30.1M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | New position新建仓 | 1.4% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
ATI StochRSI turned up from oversoldATI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $193.59.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$193.59。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
ATI daily MACD crossed downATI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $197.40.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$197.40。
Jun 18, 2026
ATI made a new 52-week highATI 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $201.34.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$201.34。
Jun 16, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 11, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 11, 2026
ATI made a new 52-week highATI 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $199.50.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$199.50。
Jun 11, 2026
ATI RSI reached overboughtATI RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $199.50.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$199.50。
Jun 9, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 9, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 9, 2026
ATI made a new 52-week highATI 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $187.13.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$187.13。
Jun 9, 2026
ATI RSI reached overboughtATI RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $187.13.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$187.13。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 232 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.31
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
-0.7
Quality质量
-0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
ATI Inc. is an American producer of specialty materials headquartered in Dallas, Texas.ATIInc.是一家美国特种材料生产商，总部位于得克萨斯州达拉斯。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) contracting (-5% YoY to ~$4B, 0.8× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）收缩（同比-5%，约 $4B，覆盖营收 0.8 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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