Five Below · Consumer Disc.
FIVE
$202.63
Five Below, Inc. is an American chain of specialty discount gift shops that prices most of its products at up to $5, plus a smaller assortment of products priced up to $40.FiveBelow,Inc.是一家美国特色折扣礼品连锁店，大多数产品定价不超过5美元，另有少量产品定价不超过40美元。
Secular growth长期成长
Large cap大盘
$11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 176.25.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 176.25 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$202.63
18.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.2%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
31.2x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.13
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
49th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | FIVE | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +7.0% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.5 points跑赢指数 8.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.3 points跑赢指数 5.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -14.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 18.9 points落后指数 18.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +3.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 4.8 points落后指数 4.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +45.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 25.7 points跑赢指数 25.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +0.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 68.6 points落后指数 68.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+4.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
49th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$187.85
Don't chase above不追高于
$202.60
Stop止损
$176.20
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 22 analysts预期上调 — 22 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -3.7% (20d)财报后漂移：-3.7%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | FIVE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 31.21x | 20.23 | 21% |
| P/B市净率 | 5.10x | 2.97 | 31% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.35x | 1.23 | 24% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.20% | 4.53 | 30% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.68% | 5.69 | 32% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.00% | 4.31 | 3% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.12x | 11.48 | 25% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 27.18x | 16.53 | 26% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.11 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.01 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $34.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 27% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 27% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.13×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Retail theme — #24 of 46 themes「零售」主题 — 46 个主题中第 24 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
FIVE reclaimed its 200-day averageFIVE 收复200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.44%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.47%
Call wall看涨密集区
$220
Put wall看跌密集区
$190
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$186
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.3%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 0.93; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +408); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；1个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.93；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +408）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$18.1M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$18.1M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 5.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
FIVE reclaimed its 200-day averageFIVE 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $197.71.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$197.71。
Jul 8, 2026
FIVE daily MACD crossed upFIVE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $180.75.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$180.75。
Jun 23, 2026
FIVE lost its 200-day averageFIVE 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $185.95.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$185.95。
Jun 22, 2026
UPTREND → DOWNTREND上涨趋势 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 18, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 17, 2026
FIVE reclaimed its 200-day averageFIVE 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $191.26.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$191.26。
Jun 16, 2026
FIVE lost its 200-day averageFIVE 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $189.41.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$189.41。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.38
Value价值
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9
Company Profile公司档案
Five Below, Inc. is an American chain of specialty discount gift shops that prices most of its products at up to $5, plus a smaller assortment of products priced up to $40.FiveBelow,Inc.是一家美国特色折扣礼品连锁店，大多数产品定价不超过5美元，另有少量产品定价不超过40美元。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。