WBD Warner Bros. Discovery · $26.87 High-confluence leader (context)高共振 领先(参考) Terminal终端
Warner Bros. Discovery · Comm. Services

WBD

$26.87
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.华纳兄弟探索公司
Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $67B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
High-confluence leader (context)高共振 领先(参考)
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 26.12.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 26.12 下方。
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Price Chart价格图表

WARNER BROS. DISCOVERY 26.00 26.50 27.00 27.50 28.00 26.87 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 52.5MVOL MACD 0.066 MASTERMIND WBDDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$26.87
10.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.4%
Market Cap市值
$67B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
91.7x
34.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
839.7x
EPS每股收益 $0.29
Beta贝塔
0.71
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
45th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 WBD S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +2.4% +0.6% Beat the index by 1.8 points跑赢指数 1.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -2.2% +4.7% Lagged the index by 6.9 points落后指数 6.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -6.0% +7.8% Lagged the index by 13.8 points落后指数 13.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -5.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 14.9 points落后指数 14.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +109.3% +19.4% Beat the index by 89.9 points跑赢指数 89.9 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +110.4% +69.4% Beat the index by 41.0 points跑赢指数 41.0 个百分点
5 Years近5年 -4.6% +83.9% Lagged the index by 88.5 points落后指数 88.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)MA Sell (100)Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)
RSI (14)RSI(14) 51 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -0.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +2.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 17 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位 45th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$26.77
Don't chase above不追高于
$26.87
Stop止损
$26.12
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 WBD Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 91.66x 34.11
10%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 839.7x
P/B市净率 1.86x 2.64
64%
P/S市销率 1.79x 1.75
44%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.09% 2.33
32%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.63% 5.94
38%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 14.76x 11.71
28%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 21.58x 11.84
24%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$10.7B
2020
$12.2B
2021
$33.8B
2022
$41.3B
2023
$39.3B
2024
$37.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 28.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
2020
2021
$-3.82
2022
$-1.28
2023
$-4.62
2024
$0.29
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$2.3B
2020
$2.4B
2021
$3.3B
2022
$6.2B
2023
$4.4B
2024
$3.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
2.0%
Net margin净利率
1.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
11.6%
2.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA4.38
Current ratio流动比率1.06
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$769.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+1.1%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.9) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 37% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 37% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.71×
0.2
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Communication Services (Equal-Weight) theme — #37 of 46 themes「通信服务(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 37 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +13.0%空头仓位变动 +13.0%
Technical技术面 WBD daily MACD crossed upWBD 日线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.22%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.97%
Call wall看涨密集区
$29
Put wall看跌密集区
$25
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$27
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
3.9%
Skew: 偏斜:greed

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$265.4M net (0 buyers, 11 sellers)-$265.4M 净值(0 买家,11 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Soros Fund Management B Adding加仓 0.4% 2026-03-31
Sachem Head Capital D exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为负;投资者周期已逾期;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
WBD daily MACD crossed upWBD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $27.09.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$27.09。
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
WBD StochRSI turned up from oversoldWBD StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $26.63.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$26.63。
Jul 6, 2026
WBD daily MACD crossed downWBD 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $26.12.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$26.12。
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 2, 2026
WBD broke down vs the marketWBD 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $26.48.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$26.48。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 30, 2026
WBD broke down vs the marketWBD 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $26.66.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$26.66。
Jun 29, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 1824 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.01
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6

Company Profile公司档案

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.华纳兄弟探索公司
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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