OMC Omnicom Group · $81.73 Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实 Terminal终端 ↗

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Omnicom Group · Comm. Services

OMC

$81.73
Omnicom Group Inc. is an American multinational media, marketing, and corporate communications holding company headquartered in New York City.宏盟集团（OmnicomGroupInc.）是一家美国跨国媒体、营销及企业传播控股公司，总部位于纽约市。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Large cap大盘 $26B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
Trend intact — hold. Late in the cycle, so don't add here; a pullback is due.趋势完好——持有。已处周期晚期，此处不宜加仓；回调即将到来。
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Price Chart价格图表

OMNICOM GROUP 70.00 75.00 80.00 85.00 81.73 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 24.5MVOL MACD 2.120 MASTERMIND OMCDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$81.73
2.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.9%
Market Cap市值
$26B
Normal volume正常成交量
Forward P/E预测市盈率
6.7x
EPS每股收益 $-0.17
Beta贝塔
0.40
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.92%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-21 (2d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
86th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 OMC S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -0.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.3 points跑赢指数 1.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +7.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 6.5 points跑赢指数 6.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +5.0% +4.7% In line with the index与指数基本持平
6 Months近6月 +4.6% +7.8% Lagged the index by 3.2 points落后指数 3.2 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +2.6% +9.1% Lagged the index by 6.5 points落后指数 6.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +20.0% +19.4% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Years近3年 -7.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 76.7 points落后指数 76.7 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +26.1% +83.9% Lagged the index by 57.8 points落后指数 57.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralIchimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14） 59 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +8.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 20 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 86th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$79.38
Don't chase above不追高于
$81.73
Stop止损
$71.35
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓

Earnings财务业绩

2
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-21

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -7.0% (20d)财报后漂移：-7.0%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 OMC Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） 6.7x — —
P/B市净率 2.12x 2.64
59%
P/S市销率 1.48x 1.75
56%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -0.21% 2.33
20%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 10.90% 5.94
71%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 4.91% 4.02
55%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 38.79x 11.71
4%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 9.18x 11.84
62%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$13.2B
2020
$14.3B
2021
$14.3B
2022
$14.7B
2023
$15.7B
2024
$17.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$4.37
2020
$6.53
2021
$6.36
2022
$6.91
2023
$7.46
2024
$-0.27
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.6B
2020
$1.3B
2021
$848.3M
2022
$1.3B
2023
$1.6B
2024
$2.8B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
2.6%
Net margin净利率
-0.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
17.0%
-0.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
-0.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.32
Current ratio流动比率0.93
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$707.9M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$100.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+59.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.9) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 48% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 48% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.40×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
3.92%
Pays a dividend (3.92% yield)有分红（收益率 3.92%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Communication Services (Equal-Weight) theme — #37 of 46 themes「通信服务（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 37 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -11.5%空头仓位变动 -11.5%
Technical技术面 Golden cross on OMCOMC 金叉

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.31%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.17%
Call wall看涨密集区
$85
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$75
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
1.6%
Skew: 偏斜：greed

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD. The weekly (investor-cycle) momentum just crossed UP while price holds its 10-day average — the start of a new multi-month up-leg. A daily-overbought print here is the launch thrust, not a top, so this is a HOLD / ride, not a take-profit. The daily can still dip to its 10-day average (normal) — but the bigger investor cycle is early, with room left持有。周线（投资者周期）动量刚刚向上交叉，且价格守住 10 日均线——这是新的多月上行段的起点。此处日线超买只是启动推力、并非见顶，因此应持有 / 顺势，而非止盈。日线仍可能回踩 10 日均线（属正常）——但更大的投资者周期尚处早期，仍有空间
RALLY ON UPTREND
Jul 16, 2026
Golden cross on OMCOMC 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $84.17.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$84.17。
Jul 16, 2026
OMC made a new 52-week highOMC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $84.17.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$84.17。
Jul 15, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 3, 2026
OMC weekly MACD crossed upOMC 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
OMC reclaimed its 200-day averageOMC 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $76.11.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$76.11。
Jul 1, 2026
OMC daily MACD crossed upOMC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $76.11.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$76.11。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.49
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3

Company Profile公司档案

Omnicom Group Inc. is an American multinational media, marketing, and corporate communications holding company headquartered in New York City.宏盟集团（OmnicomGroupInc.）是一家美国跨国媒体、营销及企业传播控股公司，总部位于纽约市。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Receivables stretch
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