Live Nation Entertainment · Comm. Services
LYV
$180.22
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is an American multinational entertainment company that was founded in 2010 following the merger of Live Nation and Ticketmaster.LiveNation娱乐公司是一家美国跨国娱乐公司，于2010年由LiveNation和Ticketmaster合并成立。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$42B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$180.22
3.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.4%
Market Cap市值
$42B
Light volume成交量清淡
P/E Ratio市盈率
85.5x
34.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
83.1x
EPS每股收益 $2.11
Beta贝塔
0.76
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
13th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | LYV | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 4.5 points跑赢指数 4.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +15.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 10.4 points跑赢指数 10.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +24.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 17.0 points跑赢指数 17.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +24.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 14.9 points跑赢指数 14.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +19.6% | +19.4% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +84.6% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 15.2 points跑赢指数 15.2 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +129.5% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 45.6 points跑赢指数 45.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralIchimoku — Price Above CloudTrend Ribbon — Uptrend State
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+16.3% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
27
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
13th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$178.85
Don't chase above不追高于
$181.30
Stop止损
$168.60
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | LYV | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 85.54x | 34.11 | 15% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 83.1x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 156.56x | 2.64 | 0% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.68x | 1.75 | 52% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.17% | 2.33 | 36% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.79% | 5.94 | 21% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.06% | 4.02 | 9% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 18.69x | 11.71 | 20% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 127.18x | 11.84 | 5% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 68.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
183.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -3.75 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.00 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $155.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 22% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 22% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.76×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.33%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.22%
Call wall看涨密集区
$190
Put wall看跌密集区
$178
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-5.3%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 9 fresh positions; P/C 1.67; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；9个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.67；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.2M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 Capital Partners | A | New position新建仓 | 0.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Dorsey Asset Management | B | Holding持有 | 7.4% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | trimtrim | 3.4% | 2026-03-31 |
| ValueAct Capital | A | trimtrim | 1.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Sachem Head Capital | D | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
LYV took relative-strength leadershipLYV 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $183.25.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$183.25。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
LYV daily MACD crossed downLYV 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $179.79.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$179.79。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
LYV RSI reached overboughtLYV RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $183.11.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$183.11。
Jun 26, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
LYV took relative-strength leadershipLYV 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $179.46.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$179.46。
Jun 26, 2026
LYV made a new 52-week highLYV 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $179.46.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$179.46。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.10
Value价值
-0.9
Quality质量
+1.4
Investment资本投入
-0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.6
Company Profile公司档案
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is an American multinational entertainment company that was founded in 2010 following the merger of Live Nation and Ticketmaster.LiveNation娱乐公司是一家美国跨国娱乐公司，于2010年由LiveNation和Ticketmaster合并成立。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。