T AT&T · $21.81 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端
AT&T · Comm. Services

T

$21.81
AT&T Inc., an abbreviation of its predecessor's original name, the American Telephone and Telegraph Company, is an American multinational telecommunications company headquartered at the Whitacre Tower in Downtown Dallas, Texas.AT&T公司,是其前身原名美国电话电报公司的缩写,是一家美国跨国电信公司,总部位于德克萨斯州达拉斯市中心的惠特克大厦。
Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $153B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 20.21.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 20.21 下方。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

AT&T 20.00 22.00 24.00 26.00 28.00 21.81 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 137.7MVOL MACD -0.392 MASTERMIND TDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$21.81
23.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 23.3%
Market Cap市值
$153B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
7.0x
34.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
8.5x
EPS每股收益 $3.14
Beta贝塔
-0.41
Moves about -0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
5.09%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
96th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 T S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -1.5% +0.6% Lagged the index by 2.1 points落后指数 2.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -16.6% +4.7% Lagged the index by 21.3 points落后指数 21.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -4.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 12.7 points落后指数 12.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -8.0% +9.1% Lagged the index by 17.1 points落后指数 17.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -15.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 34.8 points落后指数 34.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +89.9% +69.4% Beat the index by 20.5 points跑赢指数 20.5 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +37.8% +83.9% Lagged the index by 46.1 points落后指数 46.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Falling Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Ichimoku — Price Below CloudIchimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun)
RSI (14)RSI(14) 49 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -4.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -11.8% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 36 Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility rank波动率分位 96th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$21.27
Don't chase above不追高于
$21.81
Stop止损
$20.21
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -10.7% (20d)财报后漂移:-10.7%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 T Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 6.95x 34.11
90%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 8.5x
P/S市销率 1.22x 1.75
68%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 14.38% 2.33
96%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 12.73% 5.94
83%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 8.30% 4.02
82%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 6.18x 11.71
76%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 7.85x 11.84
76%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$171.8B
2020
$168.9B
2021
$120.7B
2022
$122.4B
2023
$122.3B
2024
$125.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -6.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.75
2020
$2.76
2021
$-1.13
2022
$1.97
2023
$1.49
2024
$3.04
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$27.5B
2020
$25.4B
2021
$16.2B
2022
$20.5B
2023
$18.5B
2024
$19.4B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
19.2%
Net margin净利率
17.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
32.1%
5.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.79
Current ratio流动比率0.91
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$4.5B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$536.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-2.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.8) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 79% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 79% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.41×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
5.09%
Pays a dividend (5.09% yield)有分红(收益率 5.09%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Communication Services (Equal-Weight) theme — #37 of 46 themes「通信服务(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 37 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 T daily MACD crossed upT 日线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.08%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.65%
Call wall看涨密集区
$24
Put wall看跌密集区
$20
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$21
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.5%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为负;投资者周期失败(跌破起始低点);投资者周期已逾期;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 10, 2026
T daily MACD crossed upT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $21.13.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$21.13。
Jul 7, 2026
T StochRSI turned up from oversoldT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $20.81.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$20.81。
Jul 1, 2026
T printed a daily-cycle lowT 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $20.21.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$20.21。
Jun 30, 2026
T daily MACD crossed downT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $20.43.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$20.43。
Jun 30, 2026
T RSI reached oversoldT RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $20.43.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$20.43。
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
T broke down vs the marketT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $21.53.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$21.53。
Jun 29, 2026
T made a new 52-week lowT 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $21.53.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$21.53。
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 25, 2026
T daily MACD crossed upT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $22.12.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$22.12。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.66
Value价值
+1.2
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.1
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2

Company Profile公司档案

AT&T Inc., an abbreviation of its predecessor's original name, the American Telephone and Telegraph Company, is an American multinational telecommunications company headquartered at the Whitacre Tower in Downtown Dallas, Texas.AT&T公司,是其前身原名美国电话电报公司的缩写,是一家美国跨国电信公司,总部位于德克萨斯州达拉斯市中心的惠特克大厦。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。