VVV Valvoline · $39.97 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Valvoline · Consumer Disc.

VVV

$39.97
Valvoline Inc. is an American retail automotive services company based in Lexington, Kentucky.ValvolineInc.是一家美国零售汽车服务公司，总部位于肯塔基州列克星敦。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 37.44.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 37.44 则明确离场。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$39.97
1.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.7%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.1x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.70
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
40th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
11.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 VVV S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.4% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +6.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +15.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 11.0 points跑赢指数 11.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +26.9% +7.8% Beat the index by 19.1 points跑赢指数 19.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +38.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 29.3 points跑赢指数 29.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +10.3% +19.4% Lagged the index by 9.1 points落后指数 9.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +4.1% +69.4% Lagged the index by 65.3 points落后指数 65.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 62 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +9.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +17.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 40th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$39.53
Don't chase above不追高于
$40.32
Stop止损
$37.44
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being raised — 12 analysts预期上调 — 12 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 VVV Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 24.13x 20.23
36%
P/B市净率 16.53x 2.97
9%
P/S市销率 2.97x 1.23
16%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.14% 4.53
43%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 0.75% 5.69
10%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.51% 4.31
18%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 12.34x 11.48
41%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 133.79x 16.53
3%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.4B
2020
$3.0B
2021
$1.2B
2022
$1.4B
2023
$1.6B
2024
$1.7B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -6.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.69
2020
$2.29
2021
$2.35
2022
$8.73
2023
$1.61
2024
$1.64
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$221.0M
2020
$260.0M
2021
$152.2M
2022
-$221.3M
2023
$40.7M
2024
$38.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
38.5%
Operating margin营业利润率
22.8%
Net margin净利率
12.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
17.4%
68.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.07
Current ratio流动比率0.70
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$76.8M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$10.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.5) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 22% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 22% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.70×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -13.1%空头仓位变动 -13.1%
Technical技术面 VVV took relative-strength leadershipVVV 取得相对强弱领先

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.1M net (2 buyers, 2 sellers)+$0.1M 净值（2 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 20 day(s) ago (2026-06-17 @ 37.44): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees买入。新的周期低点可能已在 20 天前形成 （2026-06-17 @ 37.44）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认
FRESH BUY BUY ZONE
Jul 16, 2026
VVV took relative-strength leadershipVVV 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $40.27.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$40.27。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 14, 2026
VVV StochRSI turned up from oversoldVVV StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $38.89.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$38.89。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
VVV daily MACD crossed downVVV 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $39.08.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$39.08。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
VVV took relative-strength leadershipVVV 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $40.20.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$40.20。
Jun 25, 2026
VVV RSI reached overboughtVVV RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $39.72.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$39.72。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 250 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.71
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.7
Quality质量
-0.6
Investment资本投入
-2.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.4

Company Profile公司档案

Valvoline Inc. is an American retail automotive services company based in Lexington, Kentucky.ValvolineInc.是一家美国零售汽车服务公司，总部位于肯塔基州列克星敦。
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