Meritage Homes Corporation · Consumer Disc.
MTH
$74.17
Meritage Homes Corporation is a publicly traded American real estate development company that constructs a variety of single-family detached homes across the United States. It is the fifth largest home builder in the United States, based on 2023 home sales.MeritageHomesCorporation是一家公开交易的美国房地产开发公司，在美国各地建造多种单户独立住宅。根据2023年住宅销售数据，它是美国第五大住宅建筑商。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mid cap中盘
$5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$74.17
12.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 12.9%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
11.2x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.95
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
93th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MTH | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.8% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +2.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 1.8 points跑赢指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +9.0% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 4.3 points跑赢指数 4.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -1.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 9.7 points落后指数 9.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +12.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +6.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 12.9 points落后指数 12.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +7.0% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 62.4 points落后指数 62.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+6.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
93th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$73.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$75.02
Stop止损
$72.42
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MTH | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 11.16x | 20.23 | 80% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.97x | 2.97 | 90% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.96% | 4.53 | 83% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.83% | 5.69 | 16% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.83% | 4.31 | 69% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 54.62x | 16.53 | 9% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -10.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
8.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $295.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $19.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -5.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/5
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 62% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 62% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.95×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/5
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MTH took relative-strength leadershipMTH 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.38%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.32%
Call wall看涨密集区
$82
Put wall看跌密集区
$72
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$73
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-14.7%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 5.71; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；1个新建仓；看跌看涨比 5.71；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.9M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$4.9M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
MTH took relative-strength leadershipMTH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $77.44.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$77.44。
Jul 7, 2026
MTH daily MACD crossed downMTH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $78.31.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$78.31。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
Golden cross on MTHMTH 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $81.86.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$81.86。
Jun 24, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
MTH took relative-strength leadershipMTH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $82.39.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$82.39。
Jun 24, 2026
MTH made a new 52-week highMTH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $82.39.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$82.39。
Jun 24, 2026
MTH RSI reached overboughtMTH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $82.39.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$82.39。
Jun 9, 2026
MTH reclaimed its 200-day averageMTH 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $71.62.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$71.62。
Jun 5, 2026
MTH weekly MACD crossed upMTH 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 256 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.14
Value价值
+1.6
Quality质量
-1.4
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Meritage Homes Corporation is a publicly traded American real estate development company that constructs a variety of single-family detached homes across the United States. It is the fifth largest home builder in the United States, based on 2023 home sales.MeritageHomesCorporation是一家公开交易的美国房地产开发公司，在美国各地建造多种单户独立住宅。根据2023年住宅销售数据，它是美国第五大住宅建筑商。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。