CHH Choice Hotels · $111.84 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Choice Hotels · Consumer Disc.

CHH

$111.84
Choice Hotels International, Inc. is an American multinational hospitality company based in North Bethesda, Maryland.ChoiceHotelsInternational,Inc.是一家总部位于马里兰州北贝塞斯达的美国跨国酒店公司。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$111.84
16.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.6%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.57
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
16.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CHH S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.4 points跑赢指数 3.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -1.5% +0.6% Lagged the index by 2.1 points落后指数 2.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -6.2% +4.7% Lagged the index by 10.9 points落后指数 10.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +3.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 3.9 points落后指数 3.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +16.7% +9.1% Beat the index by 7.6 points跑赢指数 7.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -14.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 33.4 points落后指数 33.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -7.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 76.7 points落后指数 76.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 54 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +2.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +8.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$109.90
Don't chase above不追高于
$111.80
Stop止损
$106.40
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CHH Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 13.91x 20.23
71%
P/B市净率 28.39x 2.97
1%
P/S市销率 3.22x 1.23
14%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.19% 4.53
75%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.69% 4.31
32%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.79x 11.48
35%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$774.1M
2020
$1.1B
2021
$1.4B
2022
$1.5B
2023
$1.6B
2024
$1.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
2020
$5.15
2021
$5.99
2022
$5.07
2023
$6.20
2024
$7.90
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
28.1%
Net margin净利率
23.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
16.9%
204.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.66
Current ratio流动比率0.87
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$138.3M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$38.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-1.8%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.3) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 30% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 30% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.57×
0.2
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 CHH daily MACD crossed upCHH 日线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.0M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.0M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~7 day(s) ago @ 106.39) and momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly momentum has crossed down. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 7 天前形成 @ 106.39)且动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
CHH daily MACD crossed upCHH 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $111.84.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$111.84。
Jul 9, 2026
CHH StochRSI turned up from oversoldCHH StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $109.61.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$109.61。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
CHH StochRSI turned up from oversoldCHH StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $110.95.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$110.95。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A HIGH做顶中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 30, 2026
CHH daily MACD crossed downCHH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $109.98.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$109.98。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.46
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
-1.1
Investment资本投入
-0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-3.0

Company Profile公司档案

Choice Hotels International, Inc. is an American multinational hospitality company based in North Bethesda, Maryland.ChoiceHotelsInternational,Inc.是一家总部位于马里兰州北贝塞斯达的美国跨国酒店公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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