Urban Outfitters, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
URBN
$72.98
Urban Outfitters, Inc. is a multinational lifestyle retail corporation headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.UrbanOutfitters,Inc.是一家跨国生活方式零售公司,总部位于宾夕法尼亚州费城。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$7B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~7 day(s) ago @ 68.02 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mis日线转向已经完成——低点于约 7 天前形成 @ 68.02,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$72.98
11.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.8%
Market Cap市值
$7B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
14.1x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.08
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
60th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | URBN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.0% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.7% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -1.6% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 6.3 points落后指数 6.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 2.8 points落后指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -3.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +2.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 16.5 points落后指数 16.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +110.3% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 40.9 points跑赢指数 40.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+3.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
60th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$72.08
Don't chase above不追高于
$73.70
Stop止损
$68.02
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | URBN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 14.08x | 20.23 | 70% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.33x | 2.97 | 59% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.06x | 1.23 | 52% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.10% | 4.53 | 74% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.81% | 5.69 | 42% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.35% | 4.31 | 26% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 8.41x | 11.48 | 66% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 20.78x | 16.53 | 37% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 247.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.50 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.51 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $153.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $30.4M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -2.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 58% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 58% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.08×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
URBN reclaimed its 200-day averageURBN 收复200日均线
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$347.5M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$347.5M 净值(0 买家,4 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
URBN reclaimed its 200-day averageURBN 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $72.95.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$72.95。
Jul 15, 2026
URBN daily MACD crossed upURBN 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $72.95.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$72.95。
Jul 13, 2026
URBN StochRSI turned up from oversoldURBN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $69.85.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$69.85。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
URBN lost its 200-day averageURBN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $69.37.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$69.37。
Jul 6, 2026
URBN broke down vs the marketURBN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $69.37.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$69.37。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.04
Value价值
+0.3
Profitability盈利能力
+0.7
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Urban Outfitters, Inc. is a multinational lifestyle retail corporation headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.UrbanOutfitters,Inc.是一家跨国生活方式零售公司,总部位于宾夕法尼亚州费城。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。