VF Corporation · Consumer Disc.
VFC
$16.98
VF Corporation is an American apparel (clothing) and footwear company founded in 1899 by John Barbey and headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Its eleven brands are organized into three categories: Outdoor, Active and Work.VFCorporation是一家美国服装和鞋类公司，由JohnBarbey于1899年创立，总部位于科罗拉多州丹佛市。旗下11个品牌分为三大类别：户外、运动和工装。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$7B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$16.98
20.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 20.8%
Market Cap市值
$7B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.1x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.73
Moves about 1.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
6th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | VFC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.7% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 1.1 points跑赢指数 1.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -18.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 23.4 points落后指数 23.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -8.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 16.6 points落后指数 16.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -5.5% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 14.6 points落后指数 14.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +41.2% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 21.8 points跑赢指数 21.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -6.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 75.5 points落后指数 75.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-2.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
6th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$16.80
Don't chase above不追高于
$16.98
Stop止损
$16.02
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | VFC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 26.05x | 20.23 | 30% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.72x | 2.97 | 41% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.69x | 1.23 | 66% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.84% | 4.53 | 38% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.12% | 4.31 | 24% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 18.04x | 11.48 | 23% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Margins利润率
14.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 6.25 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.40 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $73.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.6)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 40% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 40% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.73×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +22.4%空头仓位变动 +22.4%
Technical技术面
VFC lost its 200-day averageVFC 跌破200日均线
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Engaged Capital | B | trimtrim | 26.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Scion Asset Mgmt (Burry) | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2025-09-30 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
VFC lost its 200-day averageVFC 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $16.98.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$16.98。
Jul 16, 2026
VFC reclaimed its 200-day averageVFC 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $17.48.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$17.48。
Jul 13, 2026
VFC daily MACD crossed upVFC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $16.88.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$16.88。
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
VFC StochRSI turned up from oversoldVFC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $16.53.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$16.53。
Jul 8, 2026
Death cross on VFCVFC 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $16.02.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$16.02。
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 2, 2026
VFC broke down vs the marketVFC 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $16.30.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$16.30。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.14
Value价值
+0.1
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.6
Company Profile公司档案
VF Corporation is an American apparel (clothing) and footwear company founded in 1899 by John Barbey and headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Its eleven brands are organized into three categories: Outdoor, Active and Work.VFCorporation是一家美国服装和鞋类公司，由JohnBarbey于1899年创立，总部位于科罗拉多州丹佛市。旗下11个品牌分为三大类别：户外、运动和工装。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。