Macy's · Consumer Disc.
M
$23.68
Macy's IP Holdings, LLC doing business as Macy's, is an American department store chain founded in 1858 by Rowland Hussey Macy. The first store was located in Manhattan on Sixth Avenue between 13th and 14th Streets, south of the present-day...Macy'sIPHoldings,LLC以Macy's品牌经营，是一家美国连锁百货公司，由罗兰·哈西·梅西于1858年创立。首家门店位于曼哈顿第六大道13街至14街之间，早于1902年开设的位于西34街先驱广场的现旗舰店。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~5 day(s) ago @ 22.64 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mis日线转向已经完成——低点于约 5 天前形成 @ 22.64，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$23.68
8.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.8%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
9.7x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.15
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
46th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
11.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | M | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.1 points跑赢指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -0.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 1.5 points落后指数 1.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +21.2% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 16.5 points跑赢指数 16.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +10.2% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +5.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 3.8 points落后指数 3.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +103.3% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 83.9 points跑赢指数 83.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +68.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 1.2 points落后指数 1.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+15.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
46th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$23.36
Don't chase above不追高于
$23.94
Stop止损
$22.64
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 9 analysts预期上调 — 9 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | M | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 9.70x | 20.23 | 85% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.28x | 2.97 | 82% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.28x | 1.23 | 92% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.31% | 4.53 | 87% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 16.97% | 5.69 | 95% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 7.18% | 4.31 | 77% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 2.59x | 11.48 | 98% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 5.89x | 16.53 | 94% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
13.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.65 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.49 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $250.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $59.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -5.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.7)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 90% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 90% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.15×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -17.0%空头仓位变动 -17.0%
Technical技术面
M StochRSI turned up from oversoldM StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.3M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$4.3M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
M StochRSI turned up from oversoldM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $23.76.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$23.76。
Jun 30, 2026
M daily MACD crossed downM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $23.55.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$23.55。
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
M made a new 52-week highM 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $25.34.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$25.34。
Jun 24, 2026
M StochRSI turned up from oversoldM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $25.34.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$25.34。
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 17, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 248 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.63
Value价值
+2.3
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.6
Company Profile公司档案
Macy's IP Holdings, LLC doing business as Macy's, is an American department store chain founded in 1858 by Rowland Hussey Macy. The first store was located in Manhattan on Sixth Avenue between 13th and 14th Streets, south of the present-day...Macy'sIPHoldings,LLC以Macy's品牌经营，是一家美国连锁百货公司，由罗兰·哈西·梅西于1858年创立。首家门店位于曼哈顿第六大道13街至14街之间，早于1902年开设的位于西34街先驱广场的现旗舰店。
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