United Parcel Service · Industrials
UPS
$117.72
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is an American multinational shipping-and-receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.联合包裹服务公司（UPS）是一家成立于1907年的美国跨国包裹收寄与供应链管理公司。
Cyclical周期股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~19 day(s) ago @ 104.86 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 19 天前形成 @ 104.86，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$117.72
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Beta贝塔
0.80
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
70
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
35th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | UPS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +12.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 11.4 points跑赢指数 11.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +12.5% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +13.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 5.7 points跑赢指数 5.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +20.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 11.0 points跑赢指数 11.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +26.4% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 7.0 points跑赢指数 7.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
70
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+11.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+17.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
35th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$116.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$118.50
Stop止损
$104.90
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -5.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-5.5%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 33.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
34.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.68 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.22 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.0B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $73.0M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
0.80×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
UPS made a new 52-week highUPS 创52周新高
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.27%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.08%
Call wall看涨密集区
$120
Put wall看跌密集区
$105
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$94
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.1%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.7M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$2.7M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
UPS made a new 52-week highUPS 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $117.18.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$117.18。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
UPS took relative-strength leadershipUPS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $112.47.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$112.47。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
UPS took relative-strength leadershipUPS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $111.96.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$111.96。
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
UPS daily MACD crossed upUPS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $110.66.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$110.66。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.29
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.2
Company Profile公司档案
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is an American multinational shipping-and-receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.联合包裹服务公司（UPS）是一家成立于1907年的美国跨国包裹收寄与供应链管理公司。
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