AAON
AAON
·
$111.42
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
Terminal终端 ↗
AAON · Industrials
AAON
$111.42
AAON, Inc. manufactures heating, ventilation, and air conditioning equipment for commercial and industrial indoor environments.AAON公司为商业和工业室内环境制造供暖、通风和空调设备。
Broken growth成长受损
Mid cap中盘
$9B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~13+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 13+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳,或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$111.42
24.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 24.8%
Market Cap市值
$9B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
84.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.06
Moves about 2.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
40
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-10 (22d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
51th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AAON | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.4% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -16.5% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 17.1 points落后指数 17.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +18.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 13.9 points跑赢指数 13.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +18.7% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 10.9 points跑赢指数 10.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +41.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 31.9 points跑赢指数 31.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +40.8% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 21.4 points跑赢指数 21.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +61.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 8.1 points落后指数 8.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
40
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-13.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+10.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
51th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$107.65
Don't chase above不追高于
$111.40
Stop止损
$107.60
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
22
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-10
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AAON | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 84.60x | 29.89 | 6% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.18% | 3.10 | 15% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.36% | 2.29 | 7% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 40.37x | 16.39 | 8% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
6.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.00 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.63 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $18.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 2/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (9.1)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 7% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 7% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.06×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
2/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.2M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$3.2M 净值(1 买家,2 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | New position新建仓 | 0.6% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
AAON weekly MACD crossed downAAON 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 10, 2026
AAON StochRSI turned up from oversoldAAON StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $114.16.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$114.16。
Jul 2, 2026
AAON printed a daily-cycle lowAAON 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $107.62.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$107.62。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 241 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.41
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
-3.0
Investment资本投入
-2.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-1.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-2.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
AAON, Inc. manufactures heating, ventilation, and air conditioning equipment for commercial and industrial indoor environments.AAON公司为商业和工业室内环境制造供暖、通风和空调设备。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。