American Airlines Group · Industrials
AAL
$14.98
American Airlines Group Inc. is an American publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.美国航空集团是一家美国上市航空控股公司，总部位于德克萨斯州沃斯堡。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$10B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$14.98
17.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 17.5%
Market Cap市值
$10B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
89.1x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.83
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
38th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AAL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -11.6% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 10.1 points落后指数 10.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -2.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 3.5 points落后指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +17.2% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 12.5 points跑赢指数 12.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -2.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 10.3 points落后指数 10.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -3.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 12.3 points落后指数 12.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +20.3% | +19.4% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -19.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 89.2 points落后指数 89.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+-0.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+10.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
38th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$14.82
Don't chase above不追高于
$15.15
Stop止损
$14.65
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23
Estimates being raised — 10 analysts预期上调 — 10 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AAL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 89.11x | 29.89 | 4% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.18x | 2.21 | 98% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.12% | 3.10 | 14% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -6.87% | 3.81 | 2% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 10.12x | 16.39 | 82% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 25.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-3.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 7.42 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.50 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $57.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.7)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 46% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 46% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.83×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -10.0%空头仓位变动 -10.0%
Technical技术面
AAL daily MACD crossed downAAL 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.35%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.48%
Call wall看涨密集区
$16
Put wall看跌密集区
$14
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$16
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.4%
Flow资金流向
$6M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 21 fresh positions; P/C 1.08; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $6M；0DTE占0%；21个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.08；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.4M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$1.4M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 8, 2026
AAL daily MACD crossed downAAL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $16.52.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$16.52。
Jun 24, 2026
AAL made a new 52-week highAAL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $17.44.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$17.44。
Jun 24, 2026
AAL RSI reached overboughtAAL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $17.44.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$17.44。
Jun 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 22, 2026
Golden cross on AALAAL 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $16.08.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$16.08。
Jun 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 15, 2026
AAL took relative-strength leadershipAAL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $15.46.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$15.46。
Jun 12, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 12, 2026
AAL daily MACD crossed upAAL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $14.98.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$14.98。
Jun 9, 2026
AAL StochRSI turned up from oversoldAAL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $14.09.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$14.09。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 241 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.21
Value价值
+0.9
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8
Company Profile公司档案
American Airlines Group Inc. is an American publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.美国航空集团是一家美国上市航空控股公司，总部位于德克萨斯州沃斯堡。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。