TNL Travel + Leisure Co. · $73.27 Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底 Terminal终端 ↗

All coverage所有股票 · Consumer Disc.

Travel + Leisure Co. · Consumer Disc.

TNL

$73.27
Travel + Leisure Co. is an American timeshare company headquartered in Orlando, Florida.Travel+LeisureCo.是一家美国分时度假公司，总部位于佛罗里达州奥兰多。
Distressed困境股 Mid cap中盘 $5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$73.27
6.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 6.2%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
19.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.99
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
39th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 TNL S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.3% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -3.5% +0.6% Lagged the index by 4.1 points落后指数 4.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -5.7% +4.7% Lagged the index by 10.4 points落后指数 10.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +2.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 4.9 points落后指数 4.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +3.4% +9.1% Lagged the index by 5.7 points落后指数 5.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +33.9% +19.4% Beat the index by 14.5 points跑赢指数 14.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +91.0% +69.4% Beat the index by 21.6 points跑赢指数 21.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 48 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +6.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 39th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$72.98
Don't chase above不追高于
$73.93
Stop止损
$72.70
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 TNL Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 19.86x 20.23
51%
P/S市销率 1.14x 1.23
51%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 5.03% 4.53
57%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 11.44% 5.69
87%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 9.84% 4.31
86%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 14.65x 11.48
31%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 8.74x 16.53
85%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.2B
2020
$3.1B
2021
$3.6B
2022
$3.8B
2023
$3.9B
2024
$4.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-2.97
2020
$3.52
2021
$4.24
2022
$5.28
2023
$5.82
2024
$3.44
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$305.0M
2020
$511.0M
2021
$390.0M
2022
$276.0M
2023
$383.0M
2024
$523.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
13.8%
Net margin净利率
5.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
15.9%
-23.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA7.90
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$301.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$57.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-6.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.7) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 55% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 55% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.99×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +32.6%空头仓位变动 +32.6%
Technical技术面 TNL StochRSI turned up from oversoldTNL StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$22.7M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$22.7M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-08 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-08 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
TNL StochRSI turned up from oversoldTNL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $75.48.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$75.48。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
TNL daily MACD crossed downTNL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $75.19.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$75.19。
Jun 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 26, 2026
TNL made a new 52-week highTNL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $78.04.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$78.04。
Jun 26, 2026
TNL RSI reached overboughtTNL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $78.04.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$78.04。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 271 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.36
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.4

Company Profile公司档案

Travel + Leisure Co. is an American timeshare company headquartered in Orlando, Florida.Travel+LeisureCo.是一家美国分时度假公司，总部位于佛罗里达州奥兰多。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。
Open Analyzer打开分析器 Browse All Stocks浏览所有股票