Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · Health Care
SUPN
$48.04
Speculative / unprofitable投机/未盈利
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/ove筑底形态尚未确认(价格仍位于 10 日均线下方),且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$48.04
15.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.7%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.64
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
65th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
12.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SUPN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.9% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +10.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 9.6 points跑赢指数 9.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -6.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 11.2 points落后指数 11.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -3.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 11.7 points落后指数 11.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -2.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 12.0 points落后指数 12.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +43.0% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 23.6 points跑赢指数 23.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +60.6% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 8.8 points落后指数 8.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+2.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-2.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
65th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$46.98
Don't chase above不追高于
$48.04
Stop止损
$43.58
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SUPN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 2.60x | 3.52 | 66% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.84x | 3.02 | 40% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -1.40% | 2.72 | 19% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.67% | 3.94 | 23% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 89.88x | 18.21 | 3% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 60.01x | 22.42 | 11% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-3.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
-2.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -4.39 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.90 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $33.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +3.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.3)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 33% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 33% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.64×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +17.0%空头仓位变动 +17.0%
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$17.0M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$17.0M 净值(0 买家,8 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
SUPN lost its 200-day averageSUPN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $48.75.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$48.75。
Jul 8, 2026
SUPN reclaimed its 200-day averageSUPN 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $50.44.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$50.44。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.08
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.7
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
- Capital intensity rising
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