TMDX TransMedics Group, Inc. · $73.98 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端
TransMedics Group, Inc. · Health Care

TMDX

$73.98
Mixed profile混合特征 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 66.42.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启,若收盘重新跌破 66.42 则明确离场。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$73.98
50.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 50.8%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.3x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.24
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
77th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
22.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 TMDX S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +1.0% +0.6% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月 -36.2% +4.7% Lagged the index by 40.9 points落后指数 40.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -48.4% +7.8% Lagged the index by 56.2 points落后指数 56.2 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -39.7% +9.1% Lagged the index by 48.8 points落后指数 48.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -34.3% +19.4% Lagged the index by 53.7 points落后指数 53.7 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -23.0% +69.4% Lagged the index by 92.4 points落后指数 92.4 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 51 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +4.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -33.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 77th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$72.89
Don't chase above不追高于
$74.85
Stop止损
$66.42
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -6.9% (20d)财报后漂移:-6.9%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 TMDX Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 13.32x 28.92
89%
P/B市净率 5.36x 3.52
30%
P/S市销率 4.19x 3.02
36%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.51% 2.72
92%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 5.27% 3.94
65%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 15.15x 18.21
62%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 18.98x 22.42
59%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$25.6M
2020
$30.3M
2021
$93.5M
2022
$241.6M
2023
$441.5M
2024
$605.5M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 88.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-1.16
2020
$-1.60
2021
$-1.23
2022
$-0.77
2023
$1.01
2024
$4.87
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$30.7M
2020
-$32.4M
2021
-$57.7M
2022
-$164.9M
2023
-$80.9M
2024
$133.6M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
59.9%
Operating margin营业利润率
17.9%
Net margin净利率
31.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
31.8%
40.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
17.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-3.53
Current ratio流动比率7.14
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$36.9M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+1.9%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.7) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 56% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 56% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.24×
0.2
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

News新闻 1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道,多空参半
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 TMDX daily MACD crossed upTMDX 日线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.1M net (1 buyers, 6 sellers)-$3.1M 净值(1 买家,6 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Polen Capital Management B trimtrim 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY. New daily cycle, day 12: swing low in, price back above the 10-day average, daily momentum positive — and the weekly timeframe agrees买入。新的日线周期,第 12 天:摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线,日线动量为正——且周线周期也一致确认
FRESH BUY BUY ZONE
Jul 7, 2026
TMDX daily MACD crossed upTMDX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $71.11.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$71.11。
Jul 6, 2026
TMDX StochRSI turned up from oversoldTMDX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $71.23.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$71.23。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
TMDX printed a daily-cycle lowTMDX 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $66.42.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$66.42。
Jun 30, 2026
TMDX broke down vs the marketTMDX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $66.42.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$66.42。
Jun 30, 2026
TMDX daily MACD crossed downTMDX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $66.42.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$66.42。
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 249 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.69
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+0.1
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
-1.4
Low volatility低波动
-1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.4

Company Profile公司档案

Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+75% YoY to ~$0B, 0.0× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)加速(同比+75%,约 $0B,覆盖营收 0.0 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
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