ACHC Acadia Healthcare · $34.50 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Acadia Healthcare · Health Care

ACHC

$34.50
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. is an American provider of for-profit behavioral healthcare services.阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司(AcadiaHealthcareCompany,Inc.)是一家美国营利性行为医疗服务提供商。
Speculative / unprofitable投机/未盈利 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 73, 3-day 75 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(已超买(日线 RSI 73、3 日 75 与周线 72))。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$34.50
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.62
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
73
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
23th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
24.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 ACHC S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +10.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 11.8 points跑赢指数 11.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +46.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 46.2 points跑赢指数 46.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +27.8% +4.7% Beat the index by 23.1 points跑赢指数 23.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +195.4% +7.8% Beat the index by 187.6 points跑赢指数 187.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +141.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 132.3 points跑赢指数 132.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +51.5% +19.4% Beat the index by 32.1 points跑赢指数 32.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -53.6% +69.4% Lagged the index by 123.0 points落后指数 123.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 73 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +29.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +59.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 23th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$31.48
Don't chase above不追高于
$34.50
Stop止损
$23.50
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 ACHC Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 1.60x 3.52
86%
P/S市销率 0.94x 3.02
84%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -35.34% 2.72
4%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -14.10% 3.94
3%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.60% 1.89
43%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.1B
2020
$2.3B
2021
$2.6B
2022
$2.9B
2023
$3.2B
2024
$3.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-7.59
2020
$2.10
2021
$2.98
2022
$-0.24
2023
$2.78
2024
$-12.16
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$442.2M
2020
$129.7M
2021
$84.4M
2022
$38.2M
2023
-$560.7M
2024
-$439.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
-33.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
4.0%
-56.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
-20.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.55
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$50.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$31.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-1.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 58% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 58% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.62×
0.2
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +11.1%空头仓位变动 +11.1%
Technical技术面 ACHC RSI reached overboughtACHC RSI进入超买

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Soros Fund Management B New position新建仓 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 23.5) and overbought (daily RSI 73, 3-day 75 & weekly 72). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 20 天前形成 @ 23.5)且已超买(日线 RSI 73、3 日 75 与周线 72)。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
ACHC RSI reached overboughtACHC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $33.61.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$33.61。
Jul 15, 2026
ACHC made a new 52-week highACHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $32.27.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$32.27。
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
ACHC made a new 52-week highACHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $31.92.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$31.92。
Jul 7, 2026
ACHC RSI reached overboughtACHC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $31.92.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$31.92。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 262 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.52
Value价值
-1.7
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.9
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-1.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.3

Company Profile公司档案

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. is an American provider of for-profit behavioral healthcare services.阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司(AcadiaHealthcareCompany,Inc.)是一家美国营利性行为医疗服务提供商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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