Constellation Brands · Staples
STZ
$132.87
Constellation Brands, Inc. is an American producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits.ConstellationBrands,Inc.是一家美国啤酒、葡萄酒和烈酒的生产商和营销商。
Mixed profile混合特征
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 130.34.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 130.34 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$132.87
22.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 22.5%
Beta贝塔
0.05
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
42
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-06-30 (-19d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
67th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | STZ | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.9% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.4% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 5.0 points落后指数 5.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -17.6% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 22.3 points落后指数 22.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -14.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 21.9 points落后指数 21.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -4.6% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 13.7 points落后指数 13.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -20.4% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 39.8 points落后指数 39.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
42
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-5.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-8.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
67th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$132.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$132.90
Stop止损
$130.30
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
21.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 3.25 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.08 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $924.1M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $67.7M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
0.05×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
STZ broke down vs the marketSTZ 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.07%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.62%
Call wall看涨密集区
$140
Put wall看跌密集区
$130
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$133
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
2.0%
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
STZ broke down vs the marketSTZ 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $132.87.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$132.87。
Jul 10, 2026
STZ StochRSI turned up from oversoldSTZ StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $134.06.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$134.06。
Jul 7, 2026
Death cross on STZSTZ 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $131.76.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$131.76。
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
STZ daily MACD crossed downSTZ 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $136.88.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$136.88。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 29, 2026
STZ lost its 200-day averageSTZ 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $139.66.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$139.66。
Jun 29, 2026
STZ broke down vs the marketSTZ 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $139.66.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$139.66。
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 25, 2026
STZ reclaimed its 200-day averageSTZ 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $144.45.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$144.45。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.02
Profitability盈利能力
-0.6
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Constellation Brands, Inc. is an American producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits.ConstellationBrands,Inc.是一家美国啤酒、葡萄酒和烈酒的生产商和营销商。
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