BF-B Brown–Forman · $25.58 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

Brown–Forman · Staples

BF-B

$25.58

Brown-Forman Corporation is an American family-controlled publicly traded company, one of the largest in the spirits and wine business.布朗-福曼公司是一家美国家族控股上市公司，是美国最大的烈酒和葡萄酒企业之一。

Mixed profile混合特征 Large cap大盘 $12B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势

Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 25.07.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 25.07 下方。

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$25.58

16.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.4%

Market Cap市值

$12B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

16.9x

24.1x sector median

Beta贝塔

0.04

Moves about 0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Neutral zone中性区域

Volatility Rank波动率分位

68th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期	BF-B	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	-2.3%	-1.5%	In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月	+0.3%	+0.6%	In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月	-12.2%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 16.9 points落后指数 16.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月	-2.2%	+7.8%	Lagged the index by 10.0 points落后指数 10.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	-1.2%	+9.1%	Lagged the index by 10.3 points落后指数 10.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年	-9.7%	+19.4%	Lagged the index by 29.1 points落后指数 29.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 46 Neutral zone中性区域

vs 50-day相对50日均线 -2.3% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 -5.3% vs 200-day avg

Volatility rank波动率分位 68th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$24.82

Don't chase above不追高于

$25.58

Stop止损

$25.07

Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	BF-B	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	16.91x	24.10	79%
P/B市净率	2.96x	3.38	56%
P/S市销率	3.08x	1.28	15%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	5.91%	3.76	83%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	3.56%	4.71	30%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	6.84%	2.48	85%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA	11.78x	12.39	52%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流	28.05x	21.12	26%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$3.5B

2021

$3.9B

2022

$4.2B

2023

$4.2B

2024

$4.0B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.5%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$1.88

2021

$1.74

2022

$1.63

2023

$2.14

2024

$1.84

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.5%

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

$755.0M

2021

$798.0M

2022

$457.0M

2023

$419.0M

2024

$431.0M

2025

Margins利润率

Gross margin毛利率

60.5%

Operating margin营业利润率

27.8%

Net margin净利率

18.2%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

25.5%

17.5%Return on Equity股本回报率

8.6%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA	1.66
Current ratio流动比率	3.88

Capital Allocation资本配置

Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$28.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	+0.0%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.0) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理

Cheaper than 46% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 46% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

0.04×

0.21×3×

Moves about 0.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍

Financial Health财务健康

3/9

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱

Dividend分红

—

Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动

Technical技术面 BF-B weekly MACD crossed downBF-B 周线MACD下穿

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; 3-day crossed down; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向下交叉；3 日线向下交叉；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号

COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN

Jul 17, 2026

BF-B weekly MACD crossed downBF-B 周线MACD下穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Jul 17, 2026

BF-B StochRSI turned up from oversoldBF-B StochRSI自超卖区上行

StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $25.58.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$25.58。

Jul 14, 2026

NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点

GET READY准备

Jul 14, 2026

BF-B broke down vs the marketBF-B 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $25.10.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$25.10。

Jul 13, 2026

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS止盈

Jul 13, 2026

BF-B StochRSI turned up from oversoldBF-B StochRSI自超卖区上行

StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $26.25.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$26.25。

Jul 10, 2026

UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中

BUY SETUP买入预备

Jul 9, 2026

BF-B broke down vs the marketBF-B 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $25.22.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$25.22。

Jul 6, 2026

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Jul 6, 2026

BF-B broke down vs the marketBF-B 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $25.75.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$25.75。

Jul 1, 2026

NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中

SELL SETUP卖出预备

Jul 1, 2026

BF-B daily MACD crossed downBF-B 日线MACD下穿

The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $25.83.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$25.83。

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