STX
Seagate Technology
·
$828.30
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Seagate Technology · Tech
STX
$828.30
Seagate Technology Holdings plc is an American data storage company. It was incorporated in 1978 as Shugart Technology and commenced business in 1979.SeagateTechnologyHoldingsplc是一家美国数据存储公司。1978年以ShugartTechnology之名成立，1979年开始运营。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Large cap大盘
$172B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$828.30
24.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 24.2%
Market Cap市值
$172B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
2.48
Moves about 2.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
85th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | STX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.7% | +1.3% | Lagged the index by 5.0 points落后指数 5.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -18.6% | +0.3% | Lagged the index by 18.9 points落后指数 18.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +55.9% | +7.6% | Beat the index by 48.3 points跑赢指数 48.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +154.5% | +9.4% | Beat the index by 145.1 points跑赢指数 145.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +188.8% | +10.8% | Beat the index by 178.0 points跑赢指数 178.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +460.3% | +22.4% | Beat the index by 437.9 points跑赢指数 437.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +1342.2% | +73.9% | Beat the index by 1268.3 points跑赢指数 1268.3 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +1038.4% | +86.7% | Beat the index by 951.7 points跑赢指数 951.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Strong 1-Day Move Flag
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-5.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+71.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
23
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
85th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$821.85
Don't chase above不追高于
$854.00
Stop止损
$815.40
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +30.1% (20d)财报后漂移：+30.1%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | STX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 374.28x | 5.85 | 0% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.48% | 3.05 | 13% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 82.16x | 29.30 | 17% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 210.02x | 30.46 | 5% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.92 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.38 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $200.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +3.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (12.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 10% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 10% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.48×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -22.1%空头仓位变动 -22.1%
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±7.02%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±15.70%
Call wall看涨密集区
$850
Put wall看跌密集区
$720
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$930
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-13.2%
Flow资金流向
$158M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 156 fresh positions; P/C 0.74; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +11,940); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $158M；0DTE占0%；156个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.74；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +11,940）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$85.7M net (0 buyers, 10 sellers)-$85.7M 净值（0 买家，10 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
STX StochRSI turned up from oversoldSTX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $910.34.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$910.34。
Jun 30, 2026
TOPPING → BOTTOMING做顶中 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
STX took relative-strength leadershipSTX 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $968.53.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$968.53。
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
STX daily MACD crossed downSTX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $899.90.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$899.90。
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 16, 2026
STX daily MACD crossed upSTX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,030.61.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,030.61。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 1936 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.51
Value价值
-2.6
Quality质量
-1.3
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-2.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3
Company Profile公司档案
Seagate Technology Holdings plc is an American data storage company. It was incorporated in 1978 as Shugart Technology and commenced business in 1979.SeagateTechnologyHoldingsplc是一家美国数据存储公司。1978年以ShugartTechnology之名成立，1979年开始运营。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。