Amphenol · Tech
APH
$151.20
Amphenol Corporation is an American producer of electronic and fiber optic connectors, cable and interconnect systems such as coaxial cables. Amphenol is a portmanteau from the corporation's original name, American Phenolic Corp.AmphenolCorporation是一家美国电子和光纤连接器、线缆及互连系统（如同轴电缆）生产商。Amphenol是其原名AmericanPhenolicCorp.的合成词。
Broken growth成长受损
Large cap大盘
$185B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–4 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–4 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$151.20
14.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.2%
Market Cap市值
$185B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
43.4x
40.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
25.9x
EPS每股收益 $3.48
Beta贝塔
1.74
Moves about 1.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.7 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.66%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | APH | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.9% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -6.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 6.6 points落后指数 6.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 4.5 points落后指数 4.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -1.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 9.5 points落后指数 9.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +8.6% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +49.3% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 29.9 points跑赢指数 29.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +263.2% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 193.8 points跑赢指数 193.8 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +365.0% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 281.1 points跑赢指数 281.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Death Cross (7/35)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+7.8% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
20
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$145.80
Don't chase above不追高于
$151.20
Stop止损
$151.20
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -4.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-4.5%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | APH | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 43.43x | 40.17 | 45% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 25.9x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 13.83x | 5.85 | 21% |
| P/S市销率 | 8.03x | 4.85 | 30% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.30% | 2.19 | 53% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.36% | 3.05 | 42% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.79% | 2.16 | 27% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 25.67x | 29.30 | 54% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 42.36x | 30.46 | 36% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -3.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
31.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.64 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.98 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $665.2M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $135.4M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 38% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 38% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.74×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.66%
Pays a dividend (0.66% yield)有分红（收益率 0.66%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.82%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.54%
Call wall看涨密集区
$165
Put wall看跌密集区
$145
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$133
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.2%
Flow资金流向
$5M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 4 fresh positions; P/C 3.49; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +10,524); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $5M；0DTE占0%；4个新建仓；看跌看涨比 3.49；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +10,524）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$311.5M net (1 buyers, 8 sellers)-$311.5M 净值（1 买家，8 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egerton Capital | C | trimtrim | 4.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Lone Pine Capital | B | trimtrim | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
APH daily MACD crossed downAPH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $158.61.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$158.61。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
APH RSI reached overboughtAPH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $176.32.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$176.32。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
APH made a new 52-week highAPH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $166.42.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$166.42。
Jun 22, 2026
APH made a new 52-week highAPH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $165.71.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$165.71。
Jun 17, 2026
APH took relative-strength leadershipAPH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $160.87.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$160.87。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3005 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.92
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Amphenol Corporation is an American producer of electronic and fiber optic connectors, cable and interconnect systems such as coaxial cables. Amphenol is a portmanteau from the corporation's original name, American Phenolic Corp.AmphenolCorporation是一家美国电子和光纤连接器、线缆及互连系统（如同轴电缆）生产商。Amphenol是其原名AmericanPhenolicCorp.的合成词。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI infrastructure (compute, memory, networking)云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——AI 基础设施（算力／内存／网络）的需求来源
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。