WDC Western Digital · $555.55 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Western Digital · Tech

WDC

$555.55
Western Digital Corporation, doing business as WD, is an American data storage company headquartered in San Jose, California. Established in 1970, the company is one of the world's largest manufacturers of hard disk drives (HDDs).西部数据公司(以WD名义经营)是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞的美国数据存储公司,成立于1970年,是全球最大的硬盘驱动器制造商之一。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量 Large cap大盘 $162B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 490.09.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 490.09 下方。
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Price Chart价格图表

WESTERN DIGITAL 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00 700.00 800.00 555.55 2026-03-04 2026-03-30 2026-04-24 2026-05-19 2026-06-15 2026-07-13 50 SMA VOLUME 23.4MVOL MACD 1.858 MASTERMIND WDCDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$555.55
25.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 25.6%
Market Cap市值
$162B
Light volume成交量清淡
Beta贝塔
3.00
Moves about 3.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
98th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 WDC S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -3.8% -0.3% Lagged the index by 3.5 points落后指数 3.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -1.3% +1.3% Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +51.7% +7.9% Beat the index by 43.8 points跑赢指数 43.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +158.6% +8.8% Beat the index by 149.8 points跑赢指数 149.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +196.2% +10.0% Beat the index by 186.2 points跑赢指数 186.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +742.2% +21.2% Beat the index by 721.0 points跑赢指数 721.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +1761.7% +72.6% Beat the index by 1689.1 points跑赢指数 1689.1 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +954.6% +83.3% Beat the index by 871.3 points跑赢指数 871.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)MA Sell (35)Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)
RSI (14)RSI(14) 47 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +1.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +82.7% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 22 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 98th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$502.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$555.50
Stop止损
$490.10
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: +18.4% (20d)财报后漂移:+18.4%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 WDC Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 22.82x 5.85
11%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 0.79% 3.05
16%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 59.19x 29.30
24%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 126.86x 30.46
8%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$16.7B
2020
$16.9B
2021
$18.8B
2022
$12.3B
2023
$13.0B
2024
$9.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -10.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.84
2020
$2.66
2021
$4.75
2022
$-5.44
2023
$-2.61
2024
$5.12
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$177.0M
2020
$752.0M
2021
$758.0M
2022
-$1.2B
2023
-$781.0M
2024
$1.3B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
24.5%
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.93
Current ratio流动比率1.08
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$149.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$265.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-2.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (12.8) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 17% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 17% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
3.00×
0.2
Moves about 3.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -15.4%空头仓位变动 -15.4%
Technical技术面 TOPPING → BOTTOMING做顶中 → 筑底中

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±7.01%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±15.68%
Call wall看涨密集区
$512
Put wall看跌密集区
$460
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-12.9%
Flow资金流向

$473M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 188 fresh positions; P/C 1.67; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $473M;0DTE占0%;188个新建仓;看跌看涨比 1.67;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$39.3M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$39.3M 净值(0 买家,8 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Whale Rock Capital A New position新建仓 1.4% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum positive; but rolling toward a weekly cross-down; 3-day crossed down; investor cycle overdue). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为正;但正趋向周线向下交叉;3 日线向下交叉;投资者周期已逾期)。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jun 30, 2026
TOPPING → BOTTOMING做顶中 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
WDC daily MACD crossed downWDC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $586.45.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$586.45。
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 15, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 15, 2026
WDC made a new 52-week highWDC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $653.53.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$653.53。
Jun 15, 2026
WDC daily MACD crossed upWDC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $653.53.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$653.53。
Jun 15, 2026
WDC RSI reached overboughtWDC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $653.53.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$653.53。
Jun 12, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 12, 2026
WDC StochRSI turned up from oversoldWDC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $562.93.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$562.93。
Jun 11, 2026
WDC took relative-strength leadershipWDC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $529.29.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$529.29。
Jun 5, 2026
WDC daily MACD crossed downWDC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $511.72.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$511.72。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.16
Value价值
-2.4
Quality质量
+1.3
Investment资本投入
+2.8
Low volatility低波动
-2.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8

Company Profile公司档案

Western Digital Corporation, doing business as WD, is an American data storage company headquartered in San Jose, California. Established in 1970, the company is one of the world's largest manufacturers of hard disk drives (HDDs).西部数据公司(以WD名义经营)是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞的美国数据存储公司,成立于1970年,是全球最大的硬盘驱动器制造商之一。
Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) contracting (-37% YoY to ~$0B, 0.0× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)收缩(同比-37%,约 $0B,覆盖营收 0.0 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。