Scotts Miracle-Gro Company · Materials
SMG
$70.98
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is an American multinational corporation headquartered in Marysville, Ohio, where O.M. Scott began selling lawn seed in 1868. The company manufactures and sells consumer lawn, garden and pest control products, as well as soilless indoor gardening...ScottsMiracle-GroCompany是一家美国跨国公司,总部位于俄亥俄州马里斯维尔,O.M.Scott于1868年在此开始销售草坪种子。该公司生产和销售消费者草坪、花园和害虫防治产品,以及无土室内园艺设备。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 61.67.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启,若收盘重新跌破 61.67 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$70.98
3.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.4%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
28.4x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.92
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
63
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
95th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SMG | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +8.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 9.9 points跑赢指数 9.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +13.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 12.6 points跑赢指数 12.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +8.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 4.0 points跑赢指数 4.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +13.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 6.1 points跑赢指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +21.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 12.8 points跑赢指数 12.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +9.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 9.5 points落后指数 9.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +22.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 46.5 points落后指数 46.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+13.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+17.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
95th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$69.81
Don't chase above不追高于
$71.92
Stop止损
$61.67
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -7.2% (20d)财报后漂移:-7.2%(20日)
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SMG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 28.35x | 28.57 | 50% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.21x | 1.64 | 61% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.53% | 2.96 | 64% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.65% | 3.23 | 81% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.19% | 2.70 | 80% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.68x | 12.20 | 40% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 15.03x | 25.03 | 76% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -3.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -18.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-29.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 4.91 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.27 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $18.4M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $69.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.7)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 58% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 58% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.92×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SMG took relative-strength leadershipSMG 取得相对强弱领先
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.3M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)-$3.3M 净值(1 买家,1 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 16, 2026
SMG took relative-strength leadershipSMG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $73.47.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$73.47。
Jul 16, 2026
SMG made a new 52-week highSMG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $73.47.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$73.47。
Jul 16, 2026
SMG daily MACD crossed upSMG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $73.47.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$73.47。
Jul 16, 2026
SMG StochRSI turned up from oversoldSMG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $73.47.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$73.47。
Jul 16, 2026
SMG RSI reached overboughtSMG RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $73.47.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$73.47。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
SMG daily MACD crossed downSMG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $65.22.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$65.22。
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 26, 2026
SMG weekly MACD crossed upSMG 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 26, 2026
SMG made a new 52-week highSMG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $69.91.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$69.91。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.29
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+0.2
Quality质量
-2.0
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.3
Company Profile公司档案
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is an American multinational corporation headquartered in Marysville, Ohio, where O.M. Scott began selling lawn seed in 1868. The company manufactures and sells consumer lawn, garden and pest control products, as well as soilless indoor gardening...ScottsMiracle-GroCompany是一家美国跨国公司,总部位于俄亥俄州马里斯维尔,O.M.Scott于1868年在此开始销售草坪种子。该公司生产和销售消费者草坪、花园和害虫防治产品,以及无土室内园艺设备。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。