KNF Knife River Corporation · $81.71 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Knife River Corporation · Materials

KNF

$81.71
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$81.71
13.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 13.6%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
29.5x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.32
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 KNF S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.8% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -2.1% +0.6% Lagged the index by 2.7 points落后指数 2.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -8.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 13.0 points落后指数 13.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -1.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 9.7 points落后指数 9.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +12.3% +9.1% Beat the index by 3.2 points跑赢指数 3.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +2.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 16.5 points落后指数 16.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +84.4% +69.4% Beat the index by 15.0 points跑赢指数 15.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 49 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +1.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +4.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$81.17
Don't chase above不追高于
$81.71
Stop止损
$75.92
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 KNF Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 29.48x 28.57
46%
P/B市净率 2.82x 2.82
49%
P/S市销率 1.47x 1.64
51%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.39% 2.96
61%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -1.50% 3.23
12%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 11.93x 12.20
52%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.8B
2023
$2.9B
2024
$3.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$3.23
2023
$3.55
2024
$2.76
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -7.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$211.4M
2023
$149.9M
2024
-$69.6M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
18.4%
Operating margin营业利润率
9.1%
Net margin净利率
5.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.9%
9.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.28
Current ratio流动比率2.54
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$11.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.1%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.1) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 42% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 42% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.32×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 KNF weekly MACD crossed downKNF 周线MACD下穿

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 75.92) and momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly momentum has crossed down. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 24 天前形成 @ 75.92）且动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
KNF weekly MACD crossed downKNF 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 16, 2026
KNF StochRSI turned up from oversoldKNF StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $83.58.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$83.58。
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
KNF daily MACD crossed downKNF 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $85.05.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$85.05。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 259 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.63
Value价值
-0.2
Profitability盈利能力
-0.9
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
-1.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Capital intensity rising
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