J.M. Smucker Company (The) · Staples
SJM
$112.01
The J.M. Smucker Company, also known as Smucker's, is an American manufacturer of food and beverage products. Headquartered in Orrville, Ohio, the company was founded in 1897 as a maker of apple butter.TheJ.M.SmuckerCompany（又称Smucker's）是一家美国食品和饮料产品制造商。公司总部位于俄亥俄州奥维尔，成立于1897年，最初生产苹果酱。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Large cap大盘
$12B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 107.19 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 18 天前形成 @ 107.19，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$112.01
4.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.3%
Market Cap市值
$12B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
-0.27
Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
84th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SJM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.9 points跑赢指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -0.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 1.4 points落后指数 1.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +18.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 13.9 points跑赢指数 13.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +12.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 4.3 points跑赢指数 4.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +18.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 9.3 points跑赢指数 9.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +7.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+9.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
84th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$110.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$113.10
Stop止损
$107.20
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SJM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 2.28x | 3.38 | 63% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -1.16% | 3.76 | 9% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.83% | 4.71 | 70% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.94% | 2.48 | 63% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.64x | 21.12 | 67% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-2.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
-0.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.81 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $5.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $29.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.0)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 66% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 66% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.27×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SJM StochRSI turned up from oversoldSJM StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.63%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.65%
Call wall看涨密集区
$115
Put wall看跌密集区
$100
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$95
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.3%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.1M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.1M 净值（1 买家，2 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
SJM StochRSI turned up from oversoldSJM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $112.01.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$112.01。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 25, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 25, 2026
SJM StochRSI turned up from oversoldSJM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $112.50.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$112.50。
Jun 24, 2026
Golden cross on SJMSJM 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $111.63.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$111.63。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.12
Value价值
-0.2
Profitability盈利能力
-0.7
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+1.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
The J.M. Smucker Company, also known as Smucker's, is an American manufacturer of food and beverage products. Headquartered in Orrville, Ohio, the company was founded in 1897 as a maker of apple butter.TheJ.M.SmuckerCompany（又称Smucker's）是一家美国食品和饮料产品制造商。公司总部位于俄亥俄州奥维尔，成立于1897年，最初生产苹果酱。
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