Maplebear Inc. · Staples
CART
$45.82
Maplebear Inc., doing business as Instacart, is an American retail media and delivery company based in San Francisco that operates a grocery delivery and pick-up service in the United States and Canada accessible via a website and mobile app.MaplebearInc.，以Instacart名义运营，是一家总部位于旧金山的美国零售媒体和配送公司，通过网站和移动应用在美国和加拿大提供杂货配送和自提服务。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Large cap大盘
$11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$45.82
11.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.5%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.9x
24.1x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.30
Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
24th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CART | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.3% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.8 points落后指数 3.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 6.4 points跑赢指数 6.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +10.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +16.3% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 8.5 points跑赢指数 8.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 4.8 points落后指数 4.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -5.3% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 24.7 points落后指数 24.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+12.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
24th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$44.80
Don't chase above不追高于
$45.82
Stop止损
$41.24
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +6.0% (20d)财报后漂移：+6.0%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CART | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 24.90x | 24.10 | 46% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.42x | 3.38 | 39% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.97x | 1.28 | 17% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.02% | 3.76 | 53% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 8.18% | 4.71 | 78% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 12.45% | 2.48 | 96% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 17.81x | 12.39 | 19% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 12.23x | 21.12 | 75% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
17.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.08 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.40 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.4B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $352.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -6.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 40% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 40% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.30×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
CART daily MACD crossed downCART 日线MACD下穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.2M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$6.2M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 Capital Partners | A | Holding持有 | 7.5% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
CART daily MACD crossed downCART 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $47.61.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$47.61。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
CART took relative-strength leadershipCART 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $45.78.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$45.78。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 1.05
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+2.5
Quality质量
+1.3
Investment资本投入
+1.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Maplebear Inc., doing business as Instacart, is an American retail media and delivery company based in San Francisco that operates a grocery delivery and pick-up service in the United States and Canada accessible via a website and mobile app.MaplebearInc.，以Instacart名义运营，是一家总部位于旧金山的美国零售媒体和配送公司，通过网站和移动应用在美国和加拿大提供杂货配送和自提服务。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
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