SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
·
$96.46
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸/晚期——保护利润,不要新开仓;先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$96.46
3.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.7%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
12.4x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.02
Moves about 0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
66th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SIGI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +4.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 3.5 points跑赢指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +17.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 12.4 points跑赢指数 12.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +19.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 11.2 points跑赢指数 11.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +16.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +11.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 8.3 points落后指数 8.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +4.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 64.7 points落后指数 64.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
56
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+5.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+16.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
66th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$96.12
Don't chase above不追高于
$96.46
Stop止损
$91.91
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SIGI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 12.43x | 14.99 | 74% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.61x | 1.52 | 46% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.09x | 2.87 | 84% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.05% | 6.58 | 76% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.20% | 3.91 | 39% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $92.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $23.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -1.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/5
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 68% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 68% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.02×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/5
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +10.6%空头仓位变动 +10.6%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.1M net (2 buyers, 1 sellers)+$0.1M 净值(2 买家,1 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
SIGI took relative-strength leadershipSIGI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $97.70.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$97.70。
Jul 9, 2026
SIGI daily MACD crossed downSIGI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $95.53.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$95.53。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
SIGI made a new 52-week highSIGI 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $98.02.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$98.02。
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
SIGI made a new 52-week highSIGI 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $96.30.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$96.30。
Jun 26, 2026
SIGI RSI reached overboughtSIGI RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $96.30.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$96.30。
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.20
Value价值
+0.8
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。