MCY Mercury General · $106.25 High-confluence leader (context)高共振 领先(参考) Terminal终端
Mercury General · Financials

MCY

$106.25
Mercury General Corporation is a multiple-line insurance organization that offers personal automobiles, homeowners, renters, and business insurance. Mercury's primary focus is automobiles and homeowners' insurance.MercuryGeneralCorporation是一家多险种保险组织,提供个人汽车、房主、租户和商业保险,主要专注于汽车和房主保险。
Financial金融股 Mid cap中盘 $6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
High-confluence leader (context)高共振 领先(参考)
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认(价格仍位于 10 日均线下方),且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$106.25
4.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.4%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
10.9x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.19
Moves about 0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
69th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MCY S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -2.8% -1.5% Lagged the index by 1.3 points落后指数 1.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +4.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +10.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +17.4% +7.8% Beat the index by 9.6 points跑赢指数 9.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +16.6% +9.1% Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +58.7% +19.4% Beat the index by 39.3 points跑赢指数 39.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +284.4% +69.4% Beat the index by 215.0 points跑赢指数 215.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 51 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +15.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 69th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$104.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$106.20
Stop止损
$99.14
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MCY Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 10.88x 14.99
85%
P/S市销率 0.98x 2.87
86%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 9.19% 6.58
86%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.20% 3.91
15%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$3.8B
2020
$4.0B
2021
$3.6B
2022
$4.6B
2023
$5.5B
2024
$6.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$6.77
2020
$4.48
2021
$-9.26
2022
$1.74
2023
$8.45
2024
$9.77
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$565.7M
2020
$460.1M
2021
$317.1M
2022
$416.2M
2023
$991.0M
2024
$1.0B
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
9.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
18.1%
5.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$14.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 86% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 86% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.19×
0.2
Moves about 0.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 MCY daily MACD crossed downMCY 日线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.1M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.1M 净值(1 买家,0 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-11 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-11 的低点(摆动低点已现),但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成,并非全部
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 14, 2026
MCY daily MACD crossed downMCY 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $107.78.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$107.78。
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
MCY made a new 52-week highMCY 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $108.54.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$108.54。
Jun 26, 2026
MCY made a new 52-week highMCY 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $107.47.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$107.47。
Jun 22, 2026
MCY took relative-strength leadershipMCY 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $103.15.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$103.15。
Jun 18, 2026
MCY made a new 52-week highMCY 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $102.67.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$102.67。
Jun 16, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 16, 2026
MCY made a new 52-week highMCY 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $102.61.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$102.61。
Jun 15, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 15, 2026
MCY daily MACD crossed upMCY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $101.03.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$101.03。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.18
Value价值
+0.8
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
-0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4

Company Profile公司档案

Mercury General Corporation is a multiple-line insurance organization that offers personal automobiles, homeowners, renters, and business insurance. Mercury's primary focus is automobiles and homeowners' insurance.MercuryGeneralCorporation是一家多险种保险组织,提供个人汽车、房主、租户和商业保险,主要专注于汽车和房主保险。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Capital intensity rising
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