AX Axos Financial, Inc. · $99.53 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Axos Financial, Inc. · Financials

AX

$99.53
Axos Financial, Inc. is an American bank holding company based in Las Vegas, Nevada, and is the parent of Axos Bank, a direct bank on the list of largest banks in the United States.AxosFinancial,Inc.是一家总部位于内华达州拉斯维加斯的美国银行控股公司,为直接银行AxosBank的母公司,该银行位列美国最大银行名单。
Financial金融股 Mid cap中盘 $6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$99.53
1.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.5%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.0x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.97
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
63
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
42th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 AX S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +13.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 12.5 points跑赢指数 12.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +1.6% +4.7% Lagged the index by 3.1 points落后指数 3.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +5.4% +7.8% Lagged the index by 2.4 points落后指数 2.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +13.9% +9.1% Beat the index by 4.8 points跑赢指数 4.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +16.3% +19.4% Lagged the index by 3.1 points落后指数 3.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +119.5% +69.4% Beat the index by 50.1 points跑赢指数 50.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 63 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +9.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +12.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 42th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$97.31
Don't chase above不追高于
$99.53
Stop止损
$87.98
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 AX Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 13.03x 14.99
66%
P/B市净率 1.93x 1.52
39%
P/S市销率 85.75x 2.87
2%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.67% 6.58
68%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.03% 3.91
13%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$33.8M
2020
2021
$59.4M
2022
$65.3M
2023
$64.6M
2024
$65.8M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.98
2020
$3.56
2021
$3.97
2022
$5.07
2023
$7.66
2024
$7.43
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 20.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$271.8M
2020
$402.1M
2021
$188.8M
2022
$157.7M
2023
$269.5M
2024
$436.1M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
658.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
745.3%
14.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$42.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.7%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.97×
0.2
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 AX made a new 52-week highAX 创52周新高

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.8M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$6.8M 净值(0 买家,7 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Polen Capital Management B Adding加仓 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 87.98) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 20 天前形成 @ 87.98)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
AX made a new 52-week highAX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $100.94.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$100.94。
Jul 16, 2026
AX daily MACD crossed upAX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $100.94.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$100.94。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 14, 2026
AX daily MACD crossed downAX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $97.77.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$97.77。
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
AX weekly MACD crossed upAX 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 26, 2026
AX RSI reached overboughtAX RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $96.23.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$96.23。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.30
Value价值
+0.1
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7

Company Profile公司档案

Axos Financial, Inc. is an American bank holding company based in Las Vegas, Nevada, and is the parent of Axos Bank, a direct bank on the list of largest banks in the United States.AxosFinancial,Inc.是一家总部位于内华达州拉斯维加斯的美国银行控股公司,为直接银行AxosBank的母公司,该银行位列美国最大银行名单。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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