Steven Madden, Ltd. · Consumer Disc.
SHOO
$43.42
Steven Madden, Ltd. is a publicly traded company that designs and markets shoes and fashion accessories.StevenMadden,Ltd.是一家上市公司，设计和销售鞋类及时尚配饰。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is in off a real pullback, but the cycle count is stretched well past its usual window — so this is an UN日线已在一次真实回调后转向，但周期天数已远超通常窗口——因此这是未确认的新周期，尚非全新低点。请在确认后买入（更高的低点 + 周线转向），而非此处。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$43.42
5.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 5.9%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
70.7x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.60
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
57
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
36th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SHOO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.4% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +9.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -3.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 11.5 points落后指数 11.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 5.1 points落后指数 5.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +69.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 50.5 points跑赢指数 50.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +42.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 26.9 points落后指数 26.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
57
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+11.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
36th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$42.89
Don't chase above不追高于
$43.85
Stop止损
$39.02
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SHOO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 70.65x | 20.23 | 4% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.64x | 2.97 | 42% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.25x | 1.23 | 49% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.42% | 4.53 | 15% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.79% | 5.69 | 34% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.43% | 4.31 | 11% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 28.70x | 11.48 | 6% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 26.40x | 16.53 | 29% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 16.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
5.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.07 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.90 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $13.5M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $29.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.9)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 27% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 27% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.60×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SHOO daily MACD crossed upSHOO 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.7M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$1.7M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
SHOO daily MACD crossed upSHOO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $43.26.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$43.26。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
SHOO StochRSI turned up from oversoldSHOO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $42.01.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$42.01。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
SHOO StochRSI turned up from oversoldSHOO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $42.10.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$42.10。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 224 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.20
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+1.3
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
-1.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Steven Madden, Ltd. is a publicly traded company that designs and markets shoes and fashion accessories.StevenMadden,Ltd.是一家上市公司，设计和销售鞋类及时尚配饰。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。