Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$72.75
9.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.7%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
9.2x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.89
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
92th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GRBK | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.2% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 1.3 points跑赢指数 1.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +5.2% | +4.7% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -0.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 8.7 points落后指数 8.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +15.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +12.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 7.2 points落后指数 7.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +25.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 44.2 points落后指数 44.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+2.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+5.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
92th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$72.07
Don't chase above不追高于
$73.52
Stop止损
$71.39
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GRBK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 9.15x | 20.23 | 88% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.69x | 2.97 | 74% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.54x | 1.23 | 41% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.93% | 4.53 | 90% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.63% | 5.69 | 61% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.67% | 4.31 | 31% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 15.08x | 16.53 | 57% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 25.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
18.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
13.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $83.8M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $12.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 66% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 66% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.89×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
GRBK StochRSI turned up from oversoldGRBK StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.2M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | Adding加仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
GRBK StochRSI turned up from oversoldGRBK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $72.75.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$72.75。
Jul 7, 2026
GRBK daily MACD crossed downGRBK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $74.81.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$74.81。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
GRBK took relative-strength leadershipGRBK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $79.25.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$79.25。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
Golden cross on GRBKGRBK 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $80.22.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$80.22。
Jun 24, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
GRBK took relative-strength leadershipGRBK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $80.22.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$80.22。
Jun 24, 2026
GRBK RSI reached overboughtGRBK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $80.22.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$80.22。
Jun 12, 2026
GRBK weekly MACD crossed upGRBK 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 226 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.27
Value价值
+0.6
Profitability盈利能力
-0.3
Quality质量
-1.5
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.7
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。