SAM Boston Beer Company · $178.80 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Boston Beer Company · Staples

SAM

$178.80
The Boston Beer Company is an American brewery founded in 1984 by James "Jim" Koch and Rhonda Kallman. Boston Beer Company's first brand of beer was named Samuel Adams after Founding Father Samuel Adams, an American revolutionary patriot.波士顿啤酒公司是一家美国啤酒厂，由詹姆斯·“吉姆”·科赫和朗达·卡尔曼于1984年创立。波士顿啤酒公司的首个啤酒品牌以美国革命爱国者、开国元勋塞缪尔·亚当斯命名。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~3 day(s) ago @ 168.75 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 3 天前形成 @ 168.75，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$178.80
31.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 31.2%
Beta贝塔
0.02
Moves about 0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
99th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 SAM S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +4.0% +0.6% Beat the index by 3.4 points跑赢指数 3.4 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -27.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 31.8 points落后指数 31.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -13.5% +7.8% Lagged the index by 21.3 points落后指数 21.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -10.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 19.6 points落后指数 19.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -8.1% +19.4% Lagged the index by 27.5 points落后指数 27.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -40.6% +69.4% Lagged the index by 110.0 points落后指数 110.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 50 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -0.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -14.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 99th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$175.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$181.60
Stop止损
$168.80
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.7B
2020
$2.1B
2021
$2.1B
2022
$2.0B
2023
$2.0B
2024
$2.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$15.53
2020
$1.17
2021
$5.44
2022
$6.21
2023
$5.06
2024
$9.89
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -8.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$113.4M
2020
-$91.6M
2021
$109.4M
2022
$201.1M
2023
$172.6M
2024
$215.6M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
48.5%
Operating margin营业利润率
7.4%
Net margin净利率
5.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
13.7%
12.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.95
Current ratio流动比率1.65
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$202.4M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$21.8M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.02×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 SAM daily MACD crossed upSAM 日线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.6M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.6M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 3 day(s) ago (2026-07-14 @ 168.75): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 3 天前形成 （2026-07-14 @ 168.75）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
SAM daily MACD crossed upSAM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $182.50.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$182.50。
Jul 16, 2026
SAM StochRSI turned up from oversoldSAM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $182.50.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$182.50。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
SAM broke down vs the marketSAM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $172.39.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$172.39。
Jul 13, 2026
SAM daily MACD crossed downSAM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $172.39.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$172.39。
Jul 9, 2026
SAM broke down vs the marketSAM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $174.86.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$174.86。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 24, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 244 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 1.19
Profitability盈利能力
+2.7
Quality质量
+1.2
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3

Company Profile公司档案

The Boston Beer Company is an American brewery founded in 1984 by James "Jim" Koch and Rhonda Kallman. Boston Beer Company's first brand of beer was named Samuel Adams after Founding Father Samuel Adams, an American revolutionary patriot.波士顿啤酒公司是一家美国啤酒厂，由詹姆斯·“吉姆”·科赫和朗达·卡尔曼于1984年创立。波士顿啤酒公司的首个啤酒品牌以美国革命爱国者、开国元勋塞缪尔·亚当斯命名。
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