Papa John's Pizza · Consumer Disc.
PZZA
$32.86
Papa John's International, Inc., trading as Papa Johns, is an American pizza restaurant chain. As of 2023, it is the fourth largest pizza delivery restaurant chain in the United States, with headquarters in the Louisville, Kentucky, and Atlanta, Georgia, metropolitan...PapaJohn'sInternational,Inc.（交易名称为PapaJohns）是一家美国披萨连锁餐厅。截至2023年，它是美国第四大披萨外卖连锁餐厅，总部位于肯塔基州路易斯维尔和佐治亚州亚特兰大大都会区。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Small cap小盘
$1B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$32.86
38.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 38.3%
Market Cap市值
$1B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
35.3x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.38
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
45th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
17.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PZZA | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.9% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -9.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 10.4 points落后指数 10.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -11.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 15.8 points落后指数 15.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -6.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 14.5 points落后指数 14.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -16.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 25.4 points落后指数 25.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -21.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 41.2 points落后指数 41.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -50.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 120.1 points落后指数 120.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-2.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-11.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
45th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$31.90
Don't chase above不追高于
$32.86
Stop止损
$32.12
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PZZA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 35.30x | 20.23 | 15% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.52x | 1.23 | 77% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.83% | 4.53 | 24% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.69% | 5.69 | 50% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.67% | 4.31 | 68% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 9.70x | 11.48 | 61% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 17.58x | 16.53 | 46% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-6.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 3.75 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.82 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $15.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.6)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 51% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 51% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.38×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
PZZA StochRSI turned up from oversoldPZZA StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
PZZA StochRSI turned up from oversoldPZZA StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $32.86.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$32.86。
Jul 15, 2026
PZZA broke down vs the marketPZZA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $32.12.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$32.12。
Jul 7, 2026
PZZA daily MACD crossed downPZZA 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $34.86.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$34.86。
Jun 26, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 22, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 18, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.47
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
-2.0
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.4
Low volatility低波动
-0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.6
Company Profile公司档案
Papa John's International, Inc., trading as Papa Johns, is an American pizza restaurant chain. As of 2023, it is the fourth largest pizza delivery restaurant chain in the United States, with headquarters in the Louisville, Kentucky, and Atlanta, Georgia, metropolitan...PapaJohn'sInternational,Inc.（交易名称为PapaJohns）是一家美国披萨连锁餐厅。截至2023年，它是美国第四大披萨外卖连锁餐厅，总部位于肯塔基州路易斯维尔和佐治亚州亚特兰大大都会区。
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