WGO Winnebago Industries, Inc. · $30.70 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Winnebago Industries, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

WGO

$30.70
Winnebago Industries, Inc. is an American manufacturer of motorhomes, a type of recreational vehicle (RV).WinnebagoIndustries,Inc.是一家美国房车（一种休闲车辆）制造商。
Cyclical周期股 Small cap小盘 $870M
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 27.27.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 27.27 则明确离场。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$30.70
37.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 37.0%
Market Cap市值
$870M
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
33.7x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.97
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-06-25 (-24d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
90th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 WGO S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +9.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 9.0 points跑赢指数 9.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -7.9% +4.7% Lagged the index by 12.6 points落后指数 12.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -34.3% +7.8% Lagged the index by 42.1 points落后指数 42.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -22.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 31.6 points落后指数 31.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +6.5% +19.4% Lagged the index by 12.9 points落后指数 12.9 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -49.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 118.8 points落后指数 118.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 55 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +4.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -12.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 90th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$30.29
Don't chase above不追高于
$31.03
Stop止损
$27.27
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 WGO Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 33.71x 20.23
18%
P/B市净率 0.70x 2.97
98%
P/S市销率 0.31x 1.23
90%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.97% 4.53
27%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 10.33% 5.69
83%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 10.69% 4.31
90%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 10.47x 11.48
56%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 9.68x 16.53
81%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.4B
2020
$3.6B
2021
$5.0B
2022
$3.5B
2023
$3.0B
2024
$2.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.84
2020
$8.28
2021
$11.84
2022
$6.23
2023
$0.44
2024
$0.91
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -13.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$238.1M
2020
$192.4M
2021
$312.7M
2022
$211.3M
2023
$98.9M
2024
$89.5M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
13.0%
Operating margin营业利润率
2.0%
Net margin净利率
0.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
4.6%
2.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.11
Current ratio流动比率2.42
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$53.7M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$15.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.3) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 69% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 69% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.97×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +29.5%空头仓位变动 +29.5%
Technical技术面 WGO weekly MACD crossed upWGO 周线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.2M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 16 day(s) ago (2026-06-24 @ 27.27): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入。新的周期低点可能已在 16 天前形成 （2026-06-24 @ 27.27）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
FRESH BUY BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
WGO weekly MACD crossed upWGO 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 16, 2026
WGO daily MACD crossed upWGO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $31.31.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$31.31。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
WGO daily MACD crossed downWGO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $29.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$29.07。
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 241 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.58
Value价值
+2.6
Profitability盈利能力
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.9
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.0

Company Profile公司档案

Winnebago Industries, Inc. is an American manufacturer of motorhomes, a type of recreational vehicle (RV).WinnebagoIndustries,Inc.是一家美国房车（一种休闲车辆）制造商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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