XPEL XPEL, Inc. · $43.25 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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XPEL, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

XPEL

$43.25
Secular growth长期成长 Small cap小盘 $1B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$43.25
21.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 21.3%
Market Cap市值
$1B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.3x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.05
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
40
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
93th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 XPEL S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -2.8% -1.5% Lagged the index by 1.3 points落后指数 1.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -4.4% +0.6% Lagged the index by 5.0 points落后指数 5.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -8.6% +4.7% Lagged the index by 13.3 points落后指数 13.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -20.3% +7.8% Lagged the index by 28.1 points落后指数 28.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -13.9% +9.1% Lagged the index by 23.0 points落后指数 23.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +23.6% +19.4% Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -47.7% +69.4% Lagged the index by 117.1 points落后指数 117.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 40 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -4.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -3.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 93th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$41.80
Don't chase above不追高于
$43.25
Stop止损
$43.25
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 XPEL Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 23.31x 20.23
39%
P/B市净率 4.26x 2.97
36%
P/S市销率 2.51x 1.23
23%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.29% 4.53
45%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 5.27% 5.69
47%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.25% 4.31
10%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 16.59x 11.48
24%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 18.97x 16.53
43%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$158.9M
2020
$259.3M
2021
$324.0M
2022
$396.3M
2023
$420.4M
2024
$476.2M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.66
2020
$1.14
2021
$1.50
2022
$1.91
2023
$1.65
2024
$1.85
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$16.7M
2020
$11.5M
2021
$4.1M
2022
$31.0M
2023
$41.1M
2024
$62.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
42.2%
Operating margin营业利润率
13.2%
Net margin净利率
10.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
14.1%
18.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
13.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.74
Current ratio流动比率3.25
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$3.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$2.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (10.6) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 34% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 34% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.05×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 XPEL lost its 200-day averageXPEL 跌破200日均线

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY. Day 45 of a typical 23-44-day cycle — inside the window where lows usually form, and short-term momentum is washed out. No confirmed turn yet准备。典型 23-44 天周期的第 45 天——处于低点通常形成的窗口内，且短期动量已被洗净。尚无确认的转向
BOTTOM WATCH NEARING A LOW
Jul 17, 2026
XPEL lost its 200-day averageXPEL 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $43.25.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$43.25。
Jul 17, 2026
XPEL weekly MACD crossed downXPEL 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 15, 2026
XPEL reclaimed its 200-day averageXPEL 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $44.99.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$44.99。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
XPEL lost its 200-day averageXPEL 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $44.49.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$44.49。
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
XPEL daily MACD crossed downXPEL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $44.70.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$44.70。
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 230 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.31
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+1.2
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
-1.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.3

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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