PTC Inc. · Tech
PTC
$124.37
PTC Inc. is an American computer software and services company founded in 1985 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.PTC公司是一家美国计算机软件与服务公司，成立于1985年，总部位于马萨诸塞州波士顿。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$15B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/ove筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$124.37
42.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 42.6%
Market Cap市值
$15B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
20.1x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.46
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
65th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PTC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.2 points跑赢指数 1.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.8 points跑赢指数 5.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -11.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 15.7 points落后指数 15.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -25.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 33.2 points落后指数 33.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -26.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 36.0 points落后指数 36.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -36.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 56.3 points落后指数 56.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-21.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
65th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$120.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$124.40
Stop止损
$112.30
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -9.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.2%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PTC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 20.15x | 40.17 | 78% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.85x | 5.85 | 65% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.40x | 4.85 | 46% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.96% | 2.19 | 81% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.79% | 3.05 | 75% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.03% | 2.16 | 48% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.56x | 29.30 | 76% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 17.26x | 30.46 | 72% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 40.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
19.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.93 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.12 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $300.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $216.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 68% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 68% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.46×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +13.4%空头仓位变动 +13.4%
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.04%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.80%
Call wall看涨密集区
$130
Put wall看跌密集区
$115
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.7%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 1.08; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；1个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.08；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$11.4M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$11.4M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
PTC daily MACD crossed upPTC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $119.78.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$119.78。
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
PTC broke down vs the marketPTC 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $113.89.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$113.89。
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 24, 2026
PTC StochRSI turned up from oversoldPTC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $112.93.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$112.93。
Jun 23, 2026
PTC printed a daily-cycle lowPTC 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $112.33.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$112.33。
Jun 23, 2026
PTC made a new 52-week lowPTC 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $112.33.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$112.33。
Jun 18, 2026
PTC StochRSI turned up from oversoldPTC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $114.75.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$114.75。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.07
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+0.2
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
PTC Inc. is an American computer software and services company founded in 1985 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.PTC公司是一家美国计算机软件与服务公司，成立于1985年，总部位于马萨诸塞州波士顿。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+26% YoY to ~$3B, 1.0× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）加速（同比+26%，约 $3B，覆盖营收 1.0 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。