Nutanix · Tech
NTNX
$55.08
Nutanix, Inc. is an American cloud computing company that sells software for datacenters and hybrid multi-cloud deployments.Nutanix,Inc.是一家美国云计算公司，销售面向数据中心和混合多云部署的软件。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$15B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$55.08
32.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 32.1%
Market Cap市值
$15B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
79.1x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.69
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
63
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
13th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | NTNX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.0 points跑赢指数 2.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +18.5% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 17.9 points跑赢指数 17.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +37.5% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 32.8 points跑赢指数 32.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +20.4% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 12.6 points跑赢指数 12.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +8.9% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -26.4% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 45.8 points落后指数 45.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +90.5% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 21.1 points跑赢指数 21.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+10.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+10.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
13th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$53.25
Don't chase above不追高于
$55.08
Stop止损
$46.47
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | NTNX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 79.07x | 40.17 | 25% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.87x | 4.85 | 40% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.26% | 2.19 | 36% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.04% | 3.05 | 68% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.07% | 2.16 | 49% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 57.59x | 29.30 | 25% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 19.85x | 30.46 | 65% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-22.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -3.14 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.83 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $307.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $351.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.5)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 40% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 40% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.69×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$11.3M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$11.3M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NTNX RSI reached overboughtNTNX RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $55.53.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$55.53。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
NTNX reclaimed its 200-day averageNTNX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $51.28.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$51.28。
Jul 1, 2026
NTNX took relative-strength leadershipNTNX 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $51.20.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$51.20。
Jul 1, 2026
NTNX daily MACD crossed upNTNX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $51.20.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$51.20。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.47
Value价值
-1.1
Profitability盈利能力
+2.0
Quality质量
+3.0
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.6
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.6
Company Profile公司档案
Nutanix, Inc. is an American cloud computing company that sells software for datacenters and hybrid multi-cloud deployments.Nutanix,Inc.是一家美国云计算公司，销售面向数据中心和混合多云部署的软件。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。