Progressive Corporation · Financials
PGR
$207.95
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company. Progressive is currently the #1 auto insurer in the United States.进步公司是一家美国保险公司。进步公司目前是美国第一大汽车保险公司。
Financial金融股
Large cap大盘
$122B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$207.95
12.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 12.4%
Market Cap市值
$122B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
10.8x
15.0x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
12.8x
EPS每股收益 $19.30
Beta贝塔
-0.41
Moves about -0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
6.68%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-15 (-4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
100th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PGR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.9% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 8.4 points落后指数 8.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.8% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 1.2 points跑赢指数 1.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +2.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +2.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 5.0 points落后指数 5.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -1.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 11.0 points落后指数 11.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -10.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 29.9 points落后指数 29.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +89.8% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 20.4 points跑赢指数 20.4 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +141.6% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 57.7 points跑赢指数 57.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+0.0% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
39
Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility rank波动率分位
100th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$201.55
Don't chase above不追高于
$207.90
Stop止损
$202.20
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 15 analysts预期上调 — 15 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PGR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 10.77x | 14.99 | 86% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 12.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 4.02x | 1.52 | 12% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.39x | 2.87 | 73% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.28% | 6.58 | 87% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.36% | 3.91 | 26% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
37.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $132.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/5
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 57% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 57% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.41×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/5
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
6.68%
Pays a dividend (6.68% yield)有分红（收益率 6.68%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Insurance & Brokers theme — #5 of 46 themes「保险与经纪」主题 — 46 个主题中第 5 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
PGR reclaimed its 200-day averagePGR 收复200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.68%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.76%
Call wall看涨密集区
$230
Put wall看跌密集区
$195
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$208
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.9%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.5M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$4.5M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | Adding加仓 | 0.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) | A | Adding加仓 | 0.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Basswood Capital Management | B | Adding加仓 | 0.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 3.8% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
PGR reclaimed its 200-day averagePGR 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $207.95.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$207.95。
Jul 15, 2026
PGR lost its 200-day averagePGR 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $205.22.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$205.22。
Jul 15, 2026
PGR daily MACD crossed downPGR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $205.22.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$205.22。
Jul 13, 2026
PGR took relative-strength leadershipPGR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $234.48.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$234.48。
Jul 7, 2026
PGR took relative-strength leadershipPGR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $234.40.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$234.40。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
PGR took relative-strength leadershipPGR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $232.22.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$232.22。
Jul 2, 2026
PGR RSI reached overboughtPGR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $232.22.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$232.22。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.08
Value价值
+0.1
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company. Progressive is currently the #1 auto insurer in the United States.进步公司是一家美国保险公司。进步公司目前是美国第一大汽车保险公司。
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