Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Trend intact — hold; add on dips toward the 10-day average.趋势完好——持有；可在回调至 10 日均线附近时加仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$318.32
11.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.4%
Market Cap市值
$12B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
70.3x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.14
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
6th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PEN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.1% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.6 points跑赢指数 1.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.7% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -4.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 8.9 points落后指数 8.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -9.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 17.1 points落后指数 17.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +2.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 6.2 points落后指数 6.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +38.3% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 18.9 points跑赢指数 18.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +1.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 68.2 points落后指数 68.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+1.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
6th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$317.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$318.30
Stop止损
$315.50
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PEN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 70.28x | 28.92 | 15% |
| P/B市净率 | 8.75x | 3.52 | 12% |
| P/S市销率 | 8.90x | 3.02 | 14% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.42% | 2.72 | 37% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.40% | 3.94 | 21% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.00% | 1.89 | 6% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 59.50x | 18.21 | 10% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 71.38x | 22.42 | 8% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 20.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.90 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 6.64 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $59.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (20.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 14% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 14% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.14×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$11.2M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$11.2M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Perceptive Advisors | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| RTW Investments | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
RALLY ON
UPTREND
Jul 14, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 14, 2026
PEN broke down vs the marketPEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $316.26.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$316.26。
Jul 9, 2026
PEN broke down vs the marketPEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $317.95.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$317.95。
Jul 6, 2026
PEN broke down vs the marketPEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $318.23.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$318.23。
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
PEN broke down vs the marketPEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $315.75.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$315.75。
Jun 29, 2026
PEN printed a daily-cycle lowPEN 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $315.46.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$315.46。
Jun 25, 2026
PEN daily MACD crossed upPEN 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $317.40.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$317.40。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.21
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
+1.1
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
-0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。