MOH
Molina Healthcare
·
$225.37
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Molina Healthcare · Health Care
MOH
$225.37
Molina Healthcare, Inc. is an American managed care company headquartered in Long Beach, California.MolinaHealthcare,Inc.是一家美国管理式医疗公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州长滩市。
Broken growth成长受损
Large cap大盘
$11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/ove筑底形态尚未确认(价格仍位于 10 日均线下方),且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$225.37
7.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 7.2%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.4x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.12
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
44th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MOH | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.4% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.9 points落后指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +15.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 14.7 points跑赢指数 14.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +51.3% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 46.6 points跑赢指数 46.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +17.7% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 9.9 points跑赢指数 9.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +26.3% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 17.2 points跑赢指数 17.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +10.3% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 9.1 points落后指数 9.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -25.6% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 95.0 points落后指数 95.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
56
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+11.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+30.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
44th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$224.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$225.40
Stop止损
$193.20
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MOH | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 24.35x | 28.92 | 62% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.82x | 3.52 | 58% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.25x | 3.02 | 97% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.11% | 2.72 | 72% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -5.53% | 3.94 | 5% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 8.70% | 1.89 | 95% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.28x | 18.21 | 85% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 18.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -4.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.49 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.69 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $1.0B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $47.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -8.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.4)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 61% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 61% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.12×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Managed Care & Insurers theme — #16 of 46 themes「管理式医疗与保险」主题 — 46 个主题中第 16 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MOH daily MACD crossed downMOH 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.85%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.61%
Call wall看涨密集区
$250
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$203
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.1%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 0.21; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +2,866); ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M;0DTE占0%;1个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.21;净新增看涨持仓(偏多)(ΔOI +2,866);≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)
Skew: 偏斜:balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.0M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.0M 净值(1 买家,2 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scion Asset Mgmt (Burry) | A | New position新建仓 | 1.7% | 2025-09-30 |
| Baupost Group (Klarman) | C | Holding持有 | 1.6% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
MOH daily MACD crossed downMOH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $224.82.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$224.82。
Jul 10, 2026
MOH made a new 52-week highMOH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $233.31.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$233.31。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 25, 2026
MOH daily MACD crossed upMOH 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $216.04.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$216.04。
Jun 25, 2026
MOH RSI reached overboughtMOH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $216.04.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$216.04。
Jun 24, 2026
TOPPING → UPTREND做顶中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 249 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.12
Value价值
+1.1
Quality质量
-1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.2
Low volatility低波动
-1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Molina Healthcare, Inc. is an American managed care company headquartered in Long Beach, California.MolinaHealthcare,Inc.是一家美国管理式医疗公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州长滩市。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。