BAX Baxter International · $22.61 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Baxter International · Health Care

BAX

$22.61
Baxter International Inc. is an American multinational healthcare company with headquarters in Deerfield, Illinois.百特国际公司是一家美国跨国医疗保健公司，总部位于伊利诺伊州迪尔菲尔德。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Large cap大盘 $12B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$22.61
22.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 22.0%
Market Cap市值
$12B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
1.12
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
67th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 BAX S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +-0.0% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.5 points跑赢指数 1.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +16.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 16.0 points跑赢指数 16.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +20.9% +4.7% Beat the index by 16.2 points跑赢指数 16.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +12.5% +7.8% Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +16.1% +9.1% Beat the index by 7.0 points跑赢指数 7.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -18.2% +19.4% Lagged the index by 37.6 points落后指数 37.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 59 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +12.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +15.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 67th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$22.18
Don't chase above不追高于
$22.61
Stop止损
$19.39
Topping — protect gains见顶 — 保护利润

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 BAX Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 1.90x 3.52
76%
P/S市销率 1.03x 3.02
82%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -8.23% 2.72
10%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 2.85% 3.94
33%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.99% 1.89
66%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 28.39x 18.21
23%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 35.04x 22.42
22%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$11.7B
2020
$12.8B
2021
$15.1B
2022
$14.8B
2023
$10.6B
2024
$11.2B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.13
2020
$2.53
2021
$-4.83
2022
$5.25
2023
$-1.27
2024
$-1.87
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.2B
2020
$1.5B
2021
$532.0M
2022
$1.0B
2023
$573.0M
2024
$332.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
30.1%
Operating margin营业利润率
-2.7%
Net margin净利率
-8.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
7.5%
-15.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
-4.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA11.10
Current ratio流动比率2.31
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$117.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.2) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 54% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 54% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.12×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Health Care (Equal-Weight) theme — #6 of 46 themes「医疗保健（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 6 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 BAX took relative-strength leadershipBAX 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.27%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.32%
Call wall看涨密集区
$25
Put wall看跌密集区
$22
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
3.0%
Skew: 偏斜：greed

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 51 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 51 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
BAX took relative-strength leadershipBAX 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $23.35.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$23.35。
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
BAX daily MACD crossed downBAX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $21.80.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$21.80。
Jul 13, 2026
Golden cross on BAXBAX 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $22.57.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$22.57。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
BAX took relative-strength leadershipBAX 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $21.69.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$21.69。
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 96 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.01
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+1.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7

Company Profile公司档案

Baxter International Inc. is an American multinational healthcare company with headquarters in Deerfield, Illinois.百特国际公司是一家美国跨国医疗保健公司，总部位于伊利诺伊州迪尔菲尔德。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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