Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Trend intact — hold. Late in the cycle, so don't add here; a pullback is due.趋势完好——持有。已处周期晚期，此处不宜加仓；回调即将到来。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$164.06
53.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 53.5%
Market Cap市值
$12B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
46.7x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.32
Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
71th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PODD | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.2 points跑赢指数 3.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +14.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 13.7 points跑赢指数 13.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -19.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 24.2 points落后指数 24.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -43.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 50.8 points落后指数 50.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -42.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 51.1 points落后指数 51.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -42.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 61.5 points落后指数 61.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+7.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-31.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
71th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$158.65
Don't chase above不追高于
$164.10
Stop止损
$139.00
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -11.9% (20d)财报后漂移：-11.9%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PODD | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 46.74x | 28.92 | 21% |
| P/B市净率 | 7.62x | 3.52 | 16% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.26x | 3.02 | 35% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.14% | 2.72 | 41% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.27% | 3.94 | 42% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.52% | 1.89 | 25% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.23x | 18.21 | 45% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 30.58x | 22.42 | 32% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 103.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.24 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.81 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $59.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $62.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.1)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 32% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 32% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.32×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
2 recent stories — mixed2 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Health Care (Equal-Weight) theme — #6 of 46 themes「医疗保健（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 6 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.45%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.72%
Call wall看涨密集区
$175
Put wall看跌密集区
$145
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.6%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$1.3M net (3 buyers, 1 sellers)+$1.3M 净值（3 买家，1 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTW Investments | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
RALLY ON
UPTREND
Jul 14, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 3, 2026
PODD weekly MACD crossed upPODD 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 91 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.18
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+1.7
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3
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