PAG Penske Automotive Group · $202.66 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Penske Automotive Group · Consumer Disc.

PAG

$202.66
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) is an American transportation services company headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.PenskeAutomotiveGroup,Inc.(PAG)是一家美国运输服务公司，总部位于密歇根州布卢姆菲尔德希尔斯。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Large cap大盘 $13B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 73)). Don't cha已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 73））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$202.66
1.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.0%
Market Cap市值
$13B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
14.2x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.66
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
73
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
64th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 PAG S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.8 points跑赢指数 5.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +18.3% +0.6% Beat the index by 17.7 points跑赢指数 17.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +26.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 22.0 points跑赢指数 22.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +25.8% +7.8% Beat the index by 18.0 points跑赢指数 18.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +30.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 21.3 points跑赢指数 21.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +27.7% +19.4% Beat the index by 8.3 points跑赢指数 8.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +24.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 45.1 points落后指数 45.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 73 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +15.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +24.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 64th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$189.65
Don't chase above不追高于
$202.70
Stop止损
$171.30
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 PAG Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 14.25x 20.23
70%
P/B市净率 2.40x 2.97
57%
P/S市销率 0.42x 1.23
83%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.02% 4.53
73%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.88% 5.69
43%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.77% 4.31
44%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 10.62x 11.48
55%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 20.49x 16.53
38%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$20.4B
2020
$25.6B
2021
$27.8B
2022
$29.5B
2023
$30.5B
2024
$31.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$6.74
2020
$14.89
2021
$18.55
2022
$15.50
2023
$13.74
2024
$14.13
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 16.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.0B
2020
$1.0B
2021
$1.2B
2022
$718.3M
2023
$811.1M
2024
$650.5M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
16.4%
Operating margin营业利润率
4.0%
Net margin净利率
2.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.1%
16.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.45
Current ratio流动比率0.99
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$159.1M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$30.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.2) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 62% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 62% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.66×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 PAG made a new 52-week highPAG 创52周新高

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.3M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 171.33) and overbought (daily RSI 73). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 20 天前形成 @ 171.33）且已超买（日线 RSI 73）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
PAG made a new 52-week highPAG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $200.40.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$200.40。
Jul 15, 2026
PAG RSI reached overboughtPAG RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $200.40.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$200.40。
Jul 10, 2026
PAG RSI reached overboughtPAG RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $194.27.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$194.27。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
PAG made a new 52-week highPAG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $191.49.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$191.49。
Jul 9, 2026
PAG daily MACD crossed upPAG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $191.49.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$191.49。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
PAG made a new 52-week highPAG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $184.97.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$184.97。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
PAG took relative-strength leadershipPAG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $179.42.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$179.42。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 276 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.33
Value价值
+0.8
Profitability盈利能力
-0.1
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.1

Company Profile公司档案

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) is an American transportation services company headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.PenskeAutomotiveGroup,Inc.(PAG)是一家美国运输服务公司，总部位于密歇根州布卢姆菲尔德希尔斯。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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