MGM Resorts · Consumer Disc.
MGM
$46.13
MGM Resorts International is an American multinational hospitality, sports and entertainment company. It operates resorts in Las Vegas, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Maryland, Ohio, New Jersey, Macau, Shanghai, Chengdu, Hangzhou and Sanya, including the Bellagio, Mandalay Bay, MGM Grand and Park...美高梅国际酒店集团是一家美国跨国酒店、体育和娱乐公司。它在拉斯维加斯、马萨诸塞州、密歇根州、密西西比州、马里兰州、俄亥俄州、新泽西州、澳门、上海、成都、杭州和三亚经营度假村，包括百乐宫、曼德勒海湾、美高梅大酒店和公园美高梅。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$12B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$46.13
9.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.0%
Market Cap市值
$12B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
57.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.91
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
2th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MGM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.6% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 2.3 points落后指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +19.5% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 14.8 points跑赢指数 14.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +31.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 24.1 points跑赢指数 24.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +26.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 17.3 points跑赢指数 17.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +22.8% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 3.4 points跑赢指数 3.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+22.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
2th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$46.13
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MGM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 57.89x | 20.23 | 6% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.90x | 2.97 | 33% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.68x | 1.23 | 67% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.73% | 4.53 | 16% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 12.26% | 5.69 | 89% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 10.31% | 4.31 | 88% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 7.96x | 11.48 | 71% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 8.16x | 16.53 | 87% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 27.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
8.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.06 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.23 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.2B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $90.5M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -12.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 53% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 53% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.91×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.66%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.95%
Call wall看涨密集区
$50
Put wall看跌密集区
$46
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.3%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 11 fresh positions; P/C 0.22; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；11个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.22；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$75.8M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)+$75.8M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corvex Management | A | Holding持有 | 7.9% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
MGM RSI reached overboughtMGM RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $49.69.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$49.69。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 106 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.54
Value价值
+0.0
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5
Company Profile公司档案
MGM Resorts International is an American multinational hospitality, sports and entertainment company. It operates resorts in Las Vegas, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Maryland, Ohio, New Jersey, Macau, Shanghai, Chengdu, Hangzhou and Sanya, including the Bellagio, Mandalay Bay, MGM Grand and Park...美高梅国际酒店集团是一家美国跨国酒店、体育和娱乐公司。它在拉斯维加斯、马萨诸塞州、密歇根州、密西西比州、马里兰州、俄亥俄州、新泽西州、澳门、上海、成都、杭州和三亚经营度假村，包括百乐宫、曼德勒海湾、美高梅大酒店和公园美高梅。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。