Oracle Corporation · Tech
ORCL
$126.41
Oracle Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Austin, Texas.甲骨文公司（OracleCorporation）是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Mega cap超大盘
$363B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$126.41
61.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 61.2%
Market Cap市值
$363B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.2x
40.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
11.6x
EPS每股收益 $5.95
Beta贝塔
1.83
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.58%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
29
Oversold超卖区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
39th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ORCL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -10.1% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 8.6 points落后指数 8.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -30.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 31.5 points落后指数 31.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -27.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 32.5 points落后指数 32.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -33.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 41.4 points落后指数 41.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -35.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 44.1 points落后指数 44.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -48.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 68.2 points落后指数 68.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +8.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 61.3 points落后指数 61.3 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +54.0% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 29.9 points落后指数 29.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Falling TrendLong-term Falling Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral
RSI (14)RSI（14）
29
Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-29.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-33.7% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
37
Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility rank波动率分位
39th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$124.20
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Post-earnings drift: -25.9% (20d)财报后漂移：-25.9%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ORCL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 21.25x | 40.17 | 76% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 11.6x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 12.13x | 5.85 | 25% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.39x | 4.85 | 47% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.70% | 2.19 | 80% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -0.11% | 3.05 | 6% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.62% | 2.16 | 43% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.69x | 29.30 | 70% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
57.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.16 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.75 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $95.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $4.7B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +2.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 45% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 45% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.83×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
1.58%
Pays a dividend (1.58% yield)有分红（收益率 1.58%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
AI Software & Platforms theme — #11 of 46 themes「AI 软件与平台」主题 — 46 个主题中第 11 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +11.4%空头仓位变动 +11.4%
Technical技术面
ORCL made a new 52-week lowORCL 创52周新低
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.04%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±9.04%
Call wall看涨密集区
$140
Put wall看跌密集区
$120
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$138
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.5%
Flow资金流向
$1.1B premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 145 fresh positions; P/C 1.12; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +232,698); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1.1B；0DTE占0%；145个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.12；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +232,698）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$47.5M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$47.5M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 5.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Corvex Management | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
ORCL made a new 52-week lowORCL 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $124.21.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$124.21。
Jul 16, 2026
ORCL RSI reached oversoldORCL RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $124.21.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$124.21。
Jul 15, 2026
ORCL StochRSI turned up from oversoldORCL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $132.49.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$132.49。
Jul 13, 2026
ORCL made a new 52-week lowORCL 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $131.54.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$131.54。
Jul 13, 2026
ORCL RSI reached oversoldORCL RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $131.54.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$131.54。
Jul 9, 2026
ORCL StochRSI turned up from oversoldORCL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $143.72.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$143.72。
Jul 3, 2026
ORCL weekly MACD crossed downORCL 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 26, 2026
ORCL RSI reached oversoldORCL RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $148.02.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$148.02。
Jun 24, 2026
ORCL broke down vs the marketORCL 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $156.98.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$156.98。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.78
Value价值
-0.7
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
-1.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-1.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3
Company Profile公司档案
Oracle Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Austin, Texas.甲骨文公司（OracleCorporation）是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) decelerating (+41% YoY to ~$138B, 2.4× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）增速放缓（同比+41%，约 $138B，覆盖营收 2.4 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Recent News最新动态
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。