DELL
Dell Technologies
·
$396.34
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Dell Technologies · Tech
DELL
$396.34
Dell Technologies Inc. is an American multinational technology company that has been headquartered in Round Rock, Texas, since 1994.戴尔科技公司是一家美国跨国科技企业，自1994年起总部设在得克萨斯州朗德罗克。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Mega cap超大盘
$258B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 391.38.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 391.38 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$396.34
14.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.9%
Market Cap市值
$258B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
43.5x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.93
Moves about 1.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | DELL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -8.9% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 7.4 points落后指数 7.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.5% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 6.1 points落后指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +102.3% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 97.6 points跑赢指数 97.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +231.3% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 223.5 points跑赢指数 223.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +212.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 203.3 points跑赢指数 203.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +224.8% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 205.4 points跑赢指数 205.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+97.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$371.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$396.30
Stop止损
$391.40
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | DELL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 43.53x | 40.17 | 44% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.28x | 4.85 | 76% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.30% | 2.19 | 52% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.31% | 3.05 | 55% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.89% | 2.16 | 61% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 24.91x | 29.30 | 56% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 30.22x | 30.46 | 50% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-240.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.79 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.91 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $6.0B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $723.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -6.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.9)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 58% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 58% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.93×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -17.9%空头仓位变动 -17.9%
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±5.35%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±11.97%
Call wall看涨密集区
$400
Put wall看跌密集区
$370
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.4%
Flow资金流向
$131M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 113 fresh positions; P/C 0.91; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +25,994); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $131M；0DTE占0%；113个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.91；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +25,994）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2414.9M net (0 buyers, 19 sellers)-$2414.9M 净值（0 买家，19 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
DELL took relative-strength leadershipDELL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $431.97.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$431.97。
Jul 8, 2026
DELL StochRSI turned up from oversoldDELL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $431.97.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$431.97。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
DELL StochRSI turned up from oversoldDELL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $431.46.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$431.46。
Jun 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
DELL took relative-strength leadershipDELL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $414.61.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$414.61。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 104 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.73
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
-1.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-1.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Dell Technologies Inc. is an American multinational technology company that has been headquartered in Round Rock, Texas, since 1994.戴尔科技公司是一家美国跨国科技企业，自1994年起总部设在得克萨斯州朗德罗克。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI infrastructure (compute, memory, networking)云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——AI 基础设施（算力／内存／网络）的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。