NFG National Fuel Gas · $80.94 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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National Fuel Gas · Utilities

NFG

$80.94
National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified energy company with $8.7 billion in assets distributed among the following five operating segments: Exploration and Production, Pipeline and Storage, Gathering, Utility, and Energy Marketing. National Fuel Gas was incorporated in 1902 and...国家燃料气公司是一家多元化能源公司，拥有87亿美元资产，分布于以下五个运营部门：勘探与生产、管道与存储、收集、公用事业和能源营销。国家燃料气公司成立于1902年，总部位于纽约州威廉斯维尔。
Distressed困境股 Mid cap中盘 $8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 75.35.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 75.35 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$80.94
15.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.7%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
14.8x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.21
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
64th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NFG S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +7.3% +0.6% Beat the index by 6.7 points跑赢指数 6.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -7.5% +4.7% Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +0.2% +7.8% Lagged the index by 7.6 points落后指数 7.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -0.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 9.9 points落后指数 9.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -6.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 25.8 points落后指数 25.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +71.6% +69.4% Beat the index by 2.2 points跑赢指数 2.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 59 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -2.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 64th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$79.14
Don't chase above不追高于
$80.94
Stop止损
$75.35
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 NFG Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 14.83x 22.58
86%
P/S市销率 3.38x 3.01
33%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 6.74% 4.41
88%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 2.43% -2.94
85%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.16% 2.81
67%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 8.13x 12.72
86%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 41.08x 39.80
33%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.5B
2020
$1.7B
2021
$2.2B
2022
$2.2B
2023
$1.9B
2024
$2.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-1.41
2020
$3.97
2021
$6.15
2022
$5.17
2023
$0.84
2024
$5.68
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$24.7M
2020
$39.8M
2021
$695.0K
2022
$227.2M
2023
$134.7M
2024
$187.2M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
35.7%
Net margin净利率
22.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
48.3%
5.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.08
Current ratio流动比率0.44
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$54.4M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$19.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+4.9%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.6) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 72% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 72% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.21×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量开始上翘；投资者周期已逾期；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 265 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.31
Value价值
+0.1
Quality质量
+0.6
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.9

Company Profile公司档案

National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified energy company with $8.7 billion in assets distributed among the following five operating segments: Exploration and Production, Pipeline and Storage, Gathering, Utility, and Energy Marketing. National Fuel Gas was incorporated in 1902 and...国家燃料气公司是一家多元化能源公司，拥有87亿美元资产，分布于以下五个运营部门：勘探与生产、管道与存储、收集、公用事业和能源营销。国家燃料气公司成立于1902年，总部位于纽约州威廉斯维尔。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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